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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. 6z ECMWF only goes out to 90hrs. The 0z ENS also shifted north and shorter duration as well. .
  2. It’s a hybrid system, and it’ll have plenty of moisture to work with. .
  3. Furthest north out of any run yet I believe. .
  4. 6z ECMWF jumper north, with a track between the IL/WI border and ORD. .
  5. I’d agree with that. Then 1-3” near and south of I-80. .
  6. On the ECMWF the 12"+ axis is the two northern tiers of counties in N. IL and the two southern tier in S. WI...So fairly wide.
  7. We seem to be seeing agreement on an SLP track somewhere around I-80. While sampling won't be until 0z Saturday evening runs, tomorrow might be the last shot to keep you in the game given trends.
  8. 0z ECMWF with a significant step back regarding the cold next week.
  9. 0z ECMWF is coming in north, stronger and wetter.
  10. Gotta go big or go home. But yea, odds of -20 or colder are getting close to lock status.
  11. SLP is near Watseka/Rensselaer at that time. It's definitly one of the further south tracks on 0z guidance.
  12. Incorrect. Both the UKMET and the NAM won last system earlier this week...The only two that had the further south track.
  13. 0z NAM didn’t have a terrible track, but it’s running warmer with thermals. .
  14. 0.4" at ORD and 0.2" here with the frontal passage today.
  15. It actually does very well around here.
  16. Things trending better for a 0.5-2" event across the area tomorrow/tomorrow evening.
  17. HRRR has mid -10's for lows at ORD tonight and tomorrow night. Not records, but could rival the extreme cold of January 2014. Lowest during that period was -16 at ORD.
  18. Decent sampling for Saturday evening runs, and fully for 12z Sunday runs.
  19. I've noticed on non-main storm systems it has struggled in really showing a system at all.
  20. First call -28 coldest at ORD during the period.
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