Chicago Storm
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Agree. Would like to stay on the drier side overall, in addition to guidance holding firm or even looking better (ridge further north to keep ROF north). Problem re precip... All guidance outside of the Euro/UKMET have widespread t’storms and heavy rainfall tomorrow, and then some on Saturday as well. .
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Upper 90’s to mid 100’s around here from Tuesday through end of run (following Wed night). 110-120 in the Plains early on. .
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You want historic? Check out the 12z Euro control run... .
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It's gonna happen, somewhere in the region. Obviously details and affected areas tbd.
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Floating in the 95F pool, as the outflow hits from a nearby storm. Pool is about 20F warmer than the air temp right now. Easily gusting 40mph+ right.
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A 3rd downburst near Northlake, and now a 4th south of Oakbrook... .
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Another near Hillside now... .
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Pea size hail at ORD as well with that t’storm. .
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Downburst at ORD with 60MPH wind gust, associated with that t’storm that has been overhead for about 45mins.
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It should. Though best could be a bit north, across WI and far N IL. .
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Speaking of upcoming things, the 12z Euro mean has a high of 96 for next Friday. .
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12th. 90 MDW and 94 here.
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Several OBS sites in the area down to 3-6SM vis, due to widespread FU (smoke) from fireworks. .
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Interesting. I never would have guessed that would have been the case. .
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89’d ORD, 90 MDW and 91 here today. .
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6 deep into that 13 consecutive streak. Let’s do it. .
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I’m guessing unlikely. Temp was only 89 still for a short time after 1pm. A good streak through this all will be hard, but at least we’ll rack up 90+ days overall. .
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ORD 89’d so far today, and back down to 88 this hour. Looking like a miss. .
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If we can get through today, the next biggest threat to 90+ would be on Friday. There a disturbance moving through Thursday night, that if (probably will) timing changes on it, could make for a stormy day and hinder 90+ potential. .
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As I mentioned, the ENS support for prolonged ridging and heat is high... .
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Obviously an OP run, but the consistency in the GFS showing almost wall to wall 90-100+ temps for the next two weeks is something. Can’t even recall that in 2012. There is a good amount of EPS and GEFS support for the ridge to continue flexing into the region, so it might be on to something to a degree. .
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It’ll be close. HRRRx has handled the past several days well, and has a ~10F spread over ~10 miles, with ORD right there in it. .
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91 ORD today. (11th) 89’d MDW and 92 here. Oddly enough, MDW has been running a bit cool on some of the warmer days recently. .
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HRRRx has 90-95 tomorrow across the metro, minus near the lake obviously. .
