Chicago Storm
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Tue-Thur looks like the best chances as of now, for multiple MCS's across the region.
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It has maintained to a degree, but nothing significant as of yet. Shall see if it perks up moving into IN this afternoon. Otherwise, looks like a loose complex taking shape in MN will dive SSE, into the DVN CWA by this evening. .
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The threat around here today looks marginal worthy at best, and even that might be too much. Looks like that MCS currently in NE IA/SW WI is riding the instability axis, and could dive SE through the DVN CWA and into C IL...if it is able to maintain over the next few hours. .
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That MCV might become a hurricane, with how warm those waters are. Cat 1 into BUF today. .
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ENS are still very supportive of ridging with hot temps and a ROF pattern...Here or very nearby for both. .
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This x2. Tue-Thur is the biggest question as to where the hottest temps are located and where the ROF pattern sets up, with the first initial push of ridging. Past history says bank on the southern end of guidance for that. On the flip side, the amount of support for the ridging and widespread hot temps to build into much of the region for Fri-following week is tremendous. .
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Today isn’t looking like anything special, marginal severe threat at best around here.
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Agree. Would like to stay on the drier side overall, in addition to guidance holding firm or even looking better (ridge further north to keep ROF north). Problem re precip... All guidance outside of the Euro/UKMET have widespread t’storms and heavy rainfall tomorrow, and then some on Saturday as well. .
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Upper 90’s to mid 100’s around here from Tuesday through end of run (following Wed night). 110-120 in the Plains early on. .
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You want historic? Check out the 12z Euro control run... .
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It's gonna happen, somewhere in the region. Obviously details and affected areas tbd.
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Floating in the 95F pool, as the outflow hits from a nearby storm. Pool is about 20F warmer than the air temp right now. Easily gusting 40mph+ right.
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A 3rd downburst near Northlake, and now a 4th south of Oakbrook... .
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Another near Hillside now... .
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Pea size hail at ORD as well with that t’storm. .
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Downburst at ORD with 60MPH wind gust, associated with that t’storm that has been overhead for about 45mins.
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It should. Though best could be a bit north, across WI and far N IL. .
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Speaking of upcoming things, the 12z Euro mean has a high of 96 for next Friday. .
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12th. 90 MDW and 94 here.
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Several OBS sites in the area down to 3-6SM vis, due to widespread FU (smoke) from fireworks. .
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Interesting. I never would have guessed that would have been the case. .
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89’d ORD, 90 MDW and 91 here today. .
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6 deep into that 13 consecutive streak. Let’s do it. .
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I’m guessing unlikely. Temp was only 89 still for a short time after 1pm. A good streak through this all will be hard, but at least we’ll rack up 90+ days overall. .
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ORD 89’d so far today, and back down to 88 this hour. Looking like a miss. .
