Chicago Storm

lol .

Too much excitement. It’ll come down to more than just the Nina, per usual. .

Outside of the initial MCS, most of the activity was oriented more SW-NE. The map that was posted in the Sept thread shows the steady drop off across the central metro on south/southeast fairly well.

Quite the turn around... ...IMBY... July 30-Sept 5th... 1.04" Sept 6-13th... 4.28" ...ORD... July 30-Sept 5th... 1.13" Sept 6-13th... 2.54" ...RFD... July 27-Sept 5th... 0.65" Sept 6-13th... 6.01"

gonna be mixing a lot fo sho. .

The non-lawn foliage was hurting around here. .

Are you really surprised with them? .

10-15C at 700mb is just about as bad as it gets. There will probably be some t’storms that develop, as cooling occurs aloft... But any severe threat will probably be confined to a small portion of WI/MI, and remain relatively minor. .

About as DOA as DOA can get. .

Tomorrow looks like a classic day in which morning activity does not clear soon enough and lingers a bit too long, which will hinder cold frontal activity for later in the day. Looks like a marginal risk kind of day. .

city dweller views are obvi skewed. .

I’m guessing it might have been enough to keep some of the southern portions of D1 in D0, but that’s probably about it. .

0.61" of rain here since July 30th. 0.89" at ORD during that same period.

rollin' alek style is much easier though. since you have a gun to my back though... Whichever of the two potential scenarios for today ended up occurring, ENH wasn't gonna pan out around here. Scenario 1 was the overnight/morning MCS cleared out much earlier, allowing for development along the front, with a favored narrow corridor for decent severe in SE MN/SW WI/E IA/NW IL. Scenario 2 is what we are in now, where the morning MCS sustained long enough, with widespread debris and an altered environment across a large area ahead of the front. Either way ENH into the LOT CWA was comical and way too bullish, with it all along looking like a marginal worthy threat around here...and for much of the region as well.

Still doesn’t look good. SPC looking to add to their list of failure. .

Fairly large difference...

Have been getting a lot of yellowing leaves and leaf drop from trees the past week or so, likely due to the dry and hot conditions combo. Lawn is browned out too. (insert aleks lol @ lawns)

Those of us that got nada will disagree. .

Tomorrow is definitely not enhanced risk worthy as it looks. .

Where did you find that info? .

Euro weeklies are a very torchy for Sept. .

you’re just as bad. .

40 90°+ days incoming for ORD. .

You lucked out or missed out, depending on your line of thinking. .

But we want it nowwwww. .