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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. Main wave ejecting out was also much slower and a bit more loose. .
  2. can’t happen. i’ve been told it’s way too marginal. that’s not fully LE in that image though obviously.
  3. 12z GEM bumped south. Appears to be just south of the 12z GFS. .
  4. Lobe was further SW. However confluence to the east across northern Great Lakes was north, along with more ridging ahead of ejecting wave. .
  5. Exactly. It’s literally just getting into range of the system. .
  6. The writing is not on the wall for the northern tier. .
  7. Northern stream further north and a bit slower and SW trough more consolidated and a bit faster early on suggested a bump north. However, SW trough elected out further south and faster, which resulted (among other things) in SE shift. .
  8. https://weather.gc.ca/model_forecast/global_e.html
  9. Sometimes you just have to break out the black and whites...
  10. Definitely struggling there. Would likely have a solid precip shield further N, especially with SLP track and even with considering blocking north.
  11. 0z RGEM would likely end up a bit north of where 12z GEM was.
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