ldub23
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Everything posted by ldub23
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Just delayed. Sept looks to be rather slow even with a strong recurver.
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Still dont think "it" deserved to be named.
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Totally mystified as to why it was named.
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They are seriously calling that totally devoid of convection thing a tropical storm. They really are trying to jack up numbers.
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Reminds me of the 1992 season and Andrew. It was a 1 storm season. Right now we have 2 other tropical systems and they are both in horrid conditions.
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Hard to boil water without power.
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As usually happens when a storm is deepening upon landfall the wind damage is much greater. A 125 mph cane deepening at landfall is far worse than a weakening 125 mph cane at landfall.
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110 max 105 landfall 970mb Morgan city sounds good.
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Who knows. If the Nao goes positive and Ida gets trapped off the southeast coast then it could regenerate and head north. Also, that cane on the Euro might move a bit more west.
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This is an interesting look. The negative NAO looks to be breaking down and i think thats the remains of Ida off the southeast coast. http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/ecmwf-oper/2021082800/slp8.png
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JB is really going to be bummed if this one doesnt rapidly intesnify. He predicted Henri would and it didnt. I think its moving way too fast to be more than a cat1 and the further east it goes the weaker it will be.
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Probably because its moving so much faster and is quite a bit weaker. Moving that fast will likely mean it wont take advantage of what may be favorable conditions. Lets see if 0z slows it back down or speeds it up even more.
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Yea, and it appears the faster it goes the weaker it will be. Hopefully if this so far short weakening trend continues it will come in as a cat1 rainmaker.
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Actually its considerably weaker than 12z. Maybe its going so fast it will never really do much. So far this hasnt been a season of quality. My guess is the further east it goes the weaker it will be.
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Looks like the real season is about to begin.
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Maybe a late sept east coast runner.
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Plenty of cane season left.
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Yall should be happy. Like us in VA you normally just get decaying remnants of a storm after its been over land. At least this one is a direct hit.
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Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi · 1m Eye is forming on Henri. Warm water not only parameter as upper outflow will improve all the way to landfall. still no big pressure drops but if eye clears out would likely be a sign its happening
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I was thinking they cancelled the golf tournament tomorrow for no reason in NJ
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Luckily it looks like JB will be wrong about rapid intensification. Will still be some exciting weather.
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Normally its the northeast.
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May end up the strongest of the season.
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96L will be fun to watch.
