ldub23

GFS out to aug 29th shows nothing. Its going to be one heck of a sept, or not. And while i believe they upgraded td 11 its just going to collapse of respiratory failure.

I was wrong about CSU. They changed to 24/12/5 so 15/10/5 for the rest of the season. And while in a normal season it wouldnt necessarily be busy now they are predicting a hyper active season and everything shouldnt be struggling. All i am saying is 10 more hurricanes and 5 majors better be happening soon.

Im looking out to aug 21 and the gfs and euro show nothing. GFS does have some kind of weak low right in the middle of the atlantic but all that will do is kill off MDR development. Just shows above normal SST's dont mean much. I think CSU is already regretting 24/10/5 especially the cane numbers.

Lots of dry air and shear. TD11 is another struggler. Everything shouldnt be struggling if preseason forecasts of favorable conditions were right. 5/2/1 rest of the season though the way they name things these days 11/2/1 is possible. 20/4/1 for the season?

Looking less and less of a threat to anyone. Just more rain.

Sounds like you are ready

hopefully it stays offshore so you wont get flooded

It will have to get a heck ova lot better for those gusts to happen.

Lots of great info. I personally think its going to be a rather slow season regardless of all the weak storms so far. Some used 2005 as an analog but this season has been far weaker.

With my sports posts im expecting to make about the wonderful redskins draft this is it for me tonight. Back to my point about cigarettes. We all know most of these people wouldnt even be dying of corona unless they had another morbidity factor caused by cigarettes so when your neighborhood stalinist tells you every life is precious ask them why they dont seem to care about thier own policy of selling tobacco that is cuasing most of the corona deaths.

Its the best post on here. Let me ask another question if i may. May i? Thanks. If all these stalinist governors are so concerned about "the kids" and people in general and how one death is 1 too many can anyone explain why none of them as of yet have banned the sale of tobacco products? Cant they just dictate that anyone caught smoking or selling a tobacco product will be imprisoned? How many people are killed by tobacco? How many people do ABC store employees kill compared to a waitress? How many people does walmart kill by selling cigarettes as compared to a shoe salesperson?

You know isnt really serious for the vast majority of people when AT LEAST half the deaths are in nursing homes from elderly who got it in nursing homes and 99% of the deaths are either elderly or people with another reason they were already dying, such as cancer. There is zero evidence children are at any risk, regardless of the very few cases the media obsesses on and schools should never have been cancelled. I saw a study from italy where 65% got the virus in a hospital or nursing home, 25% intrafamial (people being cooped up together inside a house) and only 4.2% from work, yet the places least likely to spread the virus are the most likely to be shut down. Further, while for some reason restaurant and bar employees are seen as evil there seems to be zero evidence anyone can point to of anyone dying from eating in a restaurant or having a drink in a bar. However, i can easily point out the place you dont want to be is in a nursing home or hospital. And i dont mean people being taken there after getting the virus somewhere else. They get it there. Then there is the issue of thousands of false death codings. NYC admitted they added 3700 deaths in one day without a positive test for corona. The illinois office admitted they code a death as corona if there is a positive test regardless if the person died of cancer. One final point. You know this isnt really serious when we all know alcohol kills thousands a year, abd creates long term health consequences to millions. I think its safe to say alcohol will be responsible for more kids dying under the age of 15 from auto accidents than corona will. And with the false codings of deaths alcohol will kill more of everyone than corona. Yet, it seems many stalinist govs seem to glorify in all those deaths since they seem to have deemed the sales of alcohol is essential. I suppose a shoe store and its employees in a mall isnt even though they most likely contribute to no ones death. Another point. Is everyone sick of being deemed a non -essential piece of vomit by stalinist govs? I have news for them. every person is essential and every business is essential so stop deciding who can work and who cant. Who can open a business and who cant based on your hate-filled opinion of the "non-essential". Even though my posts are brilliant i can only post 5 times a day so i cant reply to every who agrees with me. And why in the hell cant the PGA be playing tournaments out in the virus killing UV light. And by the way there is also not a shred of evidence of viral transmission from outside activities, but plenty from being locked up. *this part was so good i just want to repeat it One final point. You know this isnt really serious when we all know alcohol kills thousands a year, abd creates long term health consequences to millions. I think its safe to say alcohol will be responsible for more kids dying under the age of 15 from auto accidents than corona will. And with the false codings of deaths alcohol will kill more of everyone than corona. Yet, it seems many stalinist govs seem to glorify in all those deaths since they seem to have deemed the sales of alcohol is essential. I suppose a shoe store and its employees in a mall isnt even though they most likely contribute to no ones death.

One thing that went wrong is within ourselves. We all are here because we like snow and cold.. Whether we admit it or not we have a built in bias toward cold and snow and that does indeed make us all to some extent make the objective data fit our preconceived bias.

WOW, in the intermountain west the temps have plummeted to -100.

I said the trends were better. You are getting more than me. Just steady light snow in newport news.

A disco was just issued saying occasionally heavy snow up to an inch an hour can occur starting between 6-7pm in se va

HRRR and Nam. They both drastically increased amounts in se va and a little further NW.

trends getting better. even Ric may get an inch+

Looks like 2 years in a row with no accumulating snow in SEVA

And we all know what happened in the winter of 68/69

Best winter forecaster!!

This came up with no model support. Though it will do little i think its a sign things will be a bit more active than many predicted pre-season

Looks like a fairly active season to me.

That time a few months back when it didnt rain for 2 days in a row.