LibertyBell

So the maximum wind reported with IDA was 172 mph?!  Wow, that was stronger than any gust reported with Laura last year.  What was the sustained wind to go along with that 172 mph gust?

7 minutes ago, doncat said:

Made it to 85° today...had an isolated shower move to my s earlier knocking temp down.

did the shower move through right as you hit 85 or would it have gone higher?

Just now, Brian5671 said:

18Z wet like the Euro....

I saw a 10" pop in there, not looking good

2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Seems like a compromise between the south/north models would put the NYC metro in the crosshairs.

Dont you wish we get this kind of output in winter.....with snow of course.

2 hours ago, Newman said:

NEWMAN !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!  @!#%$^y&&*u

2 hours ago, uncle W said:

meh...even the years with record lows the end of August ahd a warm up close to 90 in September...1986 comes to mind...it had one of the coolest endings to August and one of the warmest endings to September...

what the heck happened in 1983?

JFK had 5 90+ days in September?  even came close to hitting 100....

4 hours ago, SACRUS said:

Ida to open September morn on a wet note (2-4 inches of rain) Wed (9/1) THu (9/2)  beyond there the long weekend Fri (9/3) through Mon (9/6) looks overall dry and near normal.  Ida will pull the trough and some cooler air into the region highs near 80 lows near 60 overall.  Beyond there similarly to the last part in July - cooler period ahead of next warm up for 10 days to two weeks and warmer times look to return by the Fri 10th. Way out there.  

looks like east coast tropical activity will quiet down after these remnants pass through, might be similar to last year.

5 hours ago, bluewave said:

Maybe it’s due to us accessing the board  from different devices and operating systems. I noticed the narrower threads appearing after the big update. Some threads have gone back to full format in recent weeks. But others are narrower with empty space in the right third of the page.

ugh I see it now right in this thread lol.  Maybe it has to do with the "top posters in this thread" panel? Maybe that needs to be gotten rid of.

Chris, it sounds like you think it's going to take another super el nino to get another one of those scorching hot summers around here?

2 hours ago, forkyfork said:

40th 90 for ewr

yay the summer can end in peace now

6 hours ago, SACRUS said:

80/73 and low level clouds burning off a bit but still parrtly to mostly cloudy.  Outside chance of 90 in the hotter spots.  More clouds tomorrow but warm and humid continues.

 

Sep

Wed (9/1) and Thu (9/2) Ida's remnants enhance front / merge to produce heavy rainfall and then pull down trough/cooler air Fri (9/3) - Mon (9/6).  Think we see more 80s than 70s and are closer to normal.   On the longer range similarly to late July we ride a 10 day to two lid on warmth/heat and may see a late season warmup towards the 10th.

No sign of any tropical activity eh?  It sounds like it might be like last year when we had the east coast tropical activity in July and August.

4 hours ago, bluewave said:

The 2010-2013 summers featured drier heat with more westerly flow. It’s been higher dew point S to SW flow heat since the super El Niño in 2016. LGA had a hotter summer in 2020 than 2010 since North Shore locations are far enough from the sea breeze. JFK needed the westerly flow in 2010 for its hottest summer. 
 

Dry heat summer in 2010 with the ridge to our SW

Another moist heat summer in 2021 with WAR to our east

 

 

What will it take for us to get back to that amazing pattern of the early 2010s?  I noticed EWR was hotter back then too EWR top summers are very similar to JFK.

Measuring heat in terms of 90 and 100 degree days is how I like to do it, since number of hot days is how most people remember the summer.

I also like the term climate change much more than global warming, since just calling it "warming" is a simplification of the profound changes we are causing to our planet.

People talk about this but no one actually does anything.  I propose we allocate enough funds to begin a massive geoengineering project to balance out whats going on in the east vs the west.  We need to level out these inequalities.

I hate wasps......

3 hours ago, bluewave said:

It’s the new normal for nearly every summer since 2010 to make the top 10 warmest around the region.

 

The summers from 2010-2013 were soooo much better than this wet yucky muddy mess.

Warm yes, truly hot no.  This is the tropical weather I despise.  We need geoengineering on a massive scale to balance out the excess rainfall here with the drought and pure heat of the west.

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

Does anyone know why the threads are different widths? Some threads open all the way across and others have a narrower format. Is there a hidden setting to give all threads the wider look?

 

I haven't noticed this. Everything is as wide as I allow it to be when I set my browser width with my mouse cursor.

5 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Does the area flood easily ? 

Not in my experience.  My grass is water logged but that's about it.

32 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Supposed to be renting a house by Lake Harmony in the Poconos this week. Worried about the flooding and being able to drive around/home on Thursday. 
 

would it be unreasonable to cancel? I know the area already flooded last week 

 

Hey that's a beautiful area you'll love it.  I've had a house in that region for years.

3 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Katrina may have been the worst case track. Easterly winds piled water into Lake Pontchartrain and also up the Miss. River, then the northerly winds pushed the lake into the city. This track is bad though too, it's a 1964 Betsy type track. That drives water up the river and from the lakes/swamp south of them, but those likely soak up some of the surge before reaching the city. The danger seems to be more Lake Pontchartrain overflowing right into the city. 

a good test for their risk reduction system too.  Looks like surrounding areas really got it bad though.  I heard there was a 170 mph gust somewhere?  I remember when it used to be a decade between Cat 4/5 landfalls.  Now this is the second one in consecutive years ugh.

25 minutes ago, CIK62 said:

New Orleans as a functioning city has been eliminated for at least 30 days.       No power (unless Entergy can  reroute power) for an unknown time.      Also they are suffering low water pressure.

Ironically the revamped levee system held up.

Multiple large vessels got loose and are blocking the Mississippi River traffic too.

Going to affect the economy with more shortages and inflation.         Stocks will RISE more with the additional money printing engendered here. 

The eye has nearly filled in:

     

 

Wasn't a direct hit though.  I wonder whats a worst case scenario for them- a storm passing by just to their east and getting surge from the lake, or having the eye pass right over them or just to their west?  This time it was about 30 miles to their west.

47 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

At least 2 of the stadiums have retractable roofs

at this rate all outdoor sports played in this area will need retractable roofs (looking at the Yankees and Mets.)

1 hour ago, uncle W said:

yeah 1979 from Feb 7th to the 19th had one of the coldest snowiest periods on record...

 

I was wondering if we could ever have a snowy blizzard here with temps at or below 0.  The closest to that which I remember happened in January 2004 with anywhere from 40:1 to 80:1 ratios.  I think we were in the single digits in that storm, with about 10 inches of snow.  The second big snowstorm that season, after the great December 2003 two day blizzard.

55 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

35 mph TD as it passes over us and then strengthens back to a 40 mph TS over the Atlantic?

50 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said:

Our best hope is for most of this to stay NW of the area

1 hour ago, wdrag said:

I’m out of touch w anything on NWS terminology changes 2018 onward. Other than EF2 or bigger I’m of the opinion that big wind is big wind. Many of these wind events are highly concentrated meso or miso scale. Bottom line if you’re in the general warning. No surprises. Just be smart safe.  In advance I know most disagree.  IMO Just too darn hard to get much useful and reliable lead time on the Majority of small hurricane related tors m. Knowing the best 2 hour window of opportunity can be useful.

Hey I agree with you, more terminology merely creates more confusion and it then becomes a distinction without a difference.