LibertyBell

9 hours ago, bluewave said:

This delayed freeze-up continues to be very impressive. The record ridging and warmth dropped the extent to the 3rd lowest on record behind 2012 and 2007 for 9-26.

According to that the sea ice extent has been increasingly slightly in the last few days- so the minimum likely wont be in early October?  Is this still the latest we've ever seen the minimum, Chris?

10 hours ago, bluewave said:

Looks like a new positive 500 mb height record for this time of year over that region.

 

 

 

Chris, we've been setting records like this in different parts of the world's oceans for a few years now.  What year had our latest sea ice minimum and does it look like we could break that record this year (with a sea ice minimum as late as October for the first time ever?)

6 minutes ago, bluewave said:

I would have to look up the earliest 75 degree dew point. But last October 9th was the latest 70 degree minimum temperature on record at JFK.

That's amazing that all these records are so recent.  One of these years we'll see a day like that in the middle of winter!

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

It looks like October 10, 2017 was the latest 75 degree dew point at JFK.

Thanks, Chris, looks very close to our latest 90 degree day, which was October 10, 2007 I think?  Do you have a number for our earliest 75+ dew point? I would think it wouldn't be any earlier than April, just like the first 90 degree day.  Do you have that graph for 75+ dew point days updated for number 42?

It's been sunny here and feels both hot and is humid and I'm going to turn the AC on lol.  I think tomorrow is the anniversary of Hurricane Gloria.

On 9/3/2018 at 7:32 PM, Jonger said:

Well, a world without access to abundant energy has short lifespans and cyclical starvation problems. The more readily available energy, the more society flourishes.

 

 

The biggest problem is human overpopulation, get the birth rate to 1.5-1.8 worldwide like it is in Europe and we're golden.  Human overpopulation is the biggest factor in CC and most of our other environmental problems.

More education and a better economy will do that.

On 9/3/2018 at 8:27 PM, etudiant said:

Agreed entirely.

Issue is how to produce the energy without messing up the environment. Fossil fuels appear to have problems in that regard.

Nuclear would be good, if the product was more trustworthy, as the waste problem is tiny compared to fossil fuel. However, with 3 major failures in about 25,000 reactor years of operation, people are reluctant to pursue that technology. Wind is too small a source to rely on and solar has not yet out of the teething stage.

We can easily run the entire planet on renewables and we will be doing that by 2050 or so.  Solar, wind, hydro, even supplementary nuclear (dont put reactors on fault lines).

Also, CC does effect places other than the far arctic- there are island nations going underwater because of sea level rise.  As will our coastal regions.  And the greatest time to be alive- maybe- but that doesn't mean there aren't big problems.  Cancer is on the rise as well as conditions like autism, ADHD, etc- from environmental factors like organophosphate pesticides and other toxic pollutants.  Companies like Dow are allowed to exceed safe spraying limits year after year and they are spraying toxic pesticides near schools (and exposure to them by pregnant women results in babies being born who later develop the above conditions.)  And CC and higher humidity levels are causing higher rates of asthma and other breathing problems especially near cities because the levels of smog are much higher than they were before, So Cal just set a record for 82 straight smog days, and all of this has been linked to CC.  Higher number of tropical infections are also connected directly to CC - you dont really want a warmer planet, I have traveled to tropical regions, do you know what kind of horrible parasitical infections occur there?

1 hour ago, Cfa said:

77/75 with breaks of sunshine.

75+ degree dew point #41 at my station.

77/76 at JFK, the #42 75+ dewpoint here.  I wonder what the latest and earliest 75+ dew point days on record are?

https://classic.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-jfk/KJFK/date/2018-9-26

So far about an inch and a quarter of rain between the last two days, most of that fell last night.

45 minutes ago, SRRTA22 said:

We've been getting a bite of summer in the winter lately...what more can you ask for? 

I remember back when I used to sleep with a blanket in late September/early October nearly every year....now more often than not it's with the A/C on.

Basically we had 40s for lows in late September almost every year and lows in the upper 30s in early October and highs in the low 50s for at least a day or two.

8 minutes ago, SRRTA22 said:

Sauteeing them in a butter,garlic, and wine sauce and putting them over a nicely grilled steak

Yum, maybe the sentient ones are cannibals and wont blame us for eating them then lol.

17 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

Really? I guess the Jeff Spicoli thing will never die. Personally I enjoyed the sensation of gliding over the water at a speed not normally associated with New York. How’s that?

lmao!  I almost fell off my chair lol.

I only said that to him because he said "righteous" haha

2 hours ago, Will - Rutgers said:

I gave you a sad because I do not want to live under the authority of the mushrooms.

Yes, they will want to get back at us for putting them on our pizzas, getting high off of them and who knows what else....

12 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The two consecutive El Nino Octobers in 2014 and 2015 were active. 

hmm I wonder why...... I know we've been talking about some of our bigger storms occurring later in the season than before.

19 minutes ago, Will - Rutgers said:

The mushrooms are beginning to gain sentience.

At this rate they'll be replacing us and building their own cities (or just taking over our own.)

17 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The MJO is moving into the favorable phases for more Atlantic tropical development just in time for October. 

 

This is interesting because usually in El Nino's seasons usually end early and this one actually seems to be getting busier later in the season.

1 minute ago, winterwx21 said:

Actually the models are showing another warmup for us around then. Looks as if we could get back to 80 by next thursday-friday (27th-28th).

Oh that sucks, oh well at least the 90s are done and with the shorter days 80 doesn't feel so bad lol.

1 hour ago, Juliancolton said:

The swells from Florence were pretty righteous in SNE late last week. Got a few decent shots of surfers enjoying the action

Cowabunga, Dude!  Is that SNE or is that Huntington Beach lol?

3 hours ago, bluewave said:

Picked up .70 here in SW Suffolk with the heavy downpours so far.

It was an astonishing 77/77/100% around noon, I wonder if the dew point has ever been this high this late in the year before?

https://classic.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-jfk/KJFK/date/2018-9-18

Now it feels better, it's gotten less humid and the temps have dropped from a high of 80 to the low 70s  since the winds switched to the north but it's still raining pretty hard.

1 hour ago, Brian5671 said:

Cold front this Sat night-few days of cooler and then back to the regularly scheduled torch.

hmmm I heard there were hints of a big pattern change come next Wednesday.

3 hours ago, bluewave said:

Getting a heavy downpour here in SW Suffolk now with the sun still out. Welcome to Florida.

It was bright and sunny and then started to pour within seconds.  This sometimes happens in the winter too, but with snow and the passage of an arctic front.

10 minutes ago, JerseyWx said:

You know I love the heat, but I can't argue with that.  Always interesting, especially when it's more than a dusting.

That was a very weird and interesting winter and spring we had, from 80 degrees in February to noreaster after noreaster in March and a snowstorm in early April.  That snowstorm in early April is something that seems to be more common before the development of an El Nino for the following season.  And after that cold and stormy April we went right into a summery pattern in May.

10 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

I think we need some parameters. Just “nor’easter” is too broad.

I agree, some people need to look up their definitions of what a noreaster is and when it can occur.  We've had some in the summer also.

30 minutes ago, bluewave said:

41 days is off the charts compared to anything that we have seen before. 

 

Chris, do you think today is the last one or could we see more of these this month/year?  It seems to be rather easy to get 75+ dew points this year, much harder to get 90 degree highs, but if you look at climatology and past history, 75+ dew points should be more difficult to get than 90 degree highs here!

Fall begins Saturday night at 9:54PM EDT but day and night dont become equal until 4 days later, on the 26th.

On 9/13/2018 at 8:11 AM, SACRUS said:

More like Denmark in the spring.  If you looked at the 500 MB map the last 8 days youd think we would have been +8 - 10.  ONce we clear in 2023 we should warmup nicely.

 

In all seriousness - ECM is back to predominant higher heights in the Sep 20 - 24 period perhaps the next window for a little late season heat. 

Hey Denmark has a nice climate lol.

20 hours ago, Rtd208 said:

Every year around this time I like to get things started for the upcoming fall and winter with the "Predict the Date" of the first bonafide nor'easter of the season be it rain and or snow. Hopefully this season will be an active one.

Starts October 1st 2018 thru March 31st 2019

Noreaster season should be considered as lasting through April as we have gotten some rather big ones in April (some rain some snow.)  Tax Day noreaster in 2007 was one of the biggest on record, not to mention April 1982, 1983, 1996, 1997, 2003, etc.  

On 9/16/2018 at 4:46 PM, CIK62 said:

Anyone noticing that Great Britain, Ireland, and Scotland area are about to have about 4 ocean storms muscle in on them in the next week?  

 Wonder if that is typical for them at this time of the year?

They also had a very hot summer after a very stormy late winter and early spring just like we had.