-
Posts
40,222 -
Joined
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by LibertyBell
-
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yep, like a few years ago. This July is probably going to turn out only slightly above normal, not a bakeoff July like some of the historic summers we've had. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It's definitely a human nature thing not a US vs rest of the world thing. The fossil fuel cartels are large multinational corporations and they hold sway over most of the world's governments -- this is why you see their lobbyists even at UN climate conventions. If you want to see real decisive action against climate change (or against anything else that is a problem in society today), you need to ban corporate lobbyists completely just like we did with big tobacco lobbyists. And corporate lobbying is a global problem that extends far beyond this country. I realized that when I started reading stories coming out of the UK about judges imprisoning peaceful climate change activists, including college professors and climate scientists at the behest of fossil fuel companies. The judges put these scientists and professors in prison even before they went on trial (if there even was a trial) as a way to silence them from protesting. They were released in a few days to a few weeks, kept in prison long enough to try to teach them a lesson not to protest. -
it's very mixed because unfortunately it also means more bugs and dangerous ones like mosquitoes and ticks and a longer and more severe allergy season.
-
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Interesting to see Malaysia way up on this list. Didn't know they had a high fossil fuel consumption, I do know about their deforestation efforts and corrupt palm oil plantations (similar to Indonesia.) -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Definitely not. The old forecast of cloudy Saturday and partly sunny Sunday might work out after all. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
But when we had heatwaves back in years like 1993 and 1999 that lasted 7-11 days, was that because the Bermuda high was strong enough to hold back fronts to our west instead of letting them stall over the area leading to all this cloudy weather, Chris? -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Some of us make a large mix and variety of posts, from weather to climate to sports etc lol-- it keeps things interesting -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looks like those forecasts for sunshine didn't work out. The plague of the stalled front because the Bermuda High isn't strong enough to keep the fronts well to our west. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
excellent thanks Tony, so 5 99+ days just like 1949, but in 1949 only 2 of those days were 100+ in 1966 4 of those days were 100+ (in three separate heatwaves wow). JFK had three consecutive 100+ days in July, including on the 4th, on the day NYC peaked at 98. In 1966, 35 total 90+ days at NYC Tony? That's very high (around the same as 1944)!! -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Message in a bottle, wow those were the days..... Sounds like it had a coastal hugger kind of track? Lots of rain and surge up to Long Island on a southerly flow? No mention of wind speeds or lowest pressure though.... -
The freeze free (growing) season has also been lengthening, it used to be under 200 days, now it's well over.
-
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
There's actually a mathematical formula that quantifies this, according to that we currently consume in 6 months the amount of resources the planet produces in 1 year. In other words, we are heavily involved in removing resources from the planet's *savings bank*-- which are quickly being depleted. We passed the tipping point (of using the same amount of resources in 1 year that the planet produces in 1 year) back in the early 70s. And now we're using them twice as quickly as we did back then. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I think Germany is the unfortunate exception to that. I read somewhere that Germany was shutting down nuclear plants and building more coal plants too. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
China doesn't care about helping to *save* the world, no altruistic philosophy there. They are clearly using an *all of the above* approach which means more fossil fuel plants as well as more renewable energy. It's probably because their population is so high they can't be all renewable. It's too bad nuclear is being phased out, because it would help solve the CC problem and meet the capacity needs. and this is something I always like to tell people who think nuclear fission is too *toxic*-- did you know that the radioactive pollution from coal plants exceed the radioactive pollution from nuclear plants? -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
we also need to get India sped up, they have 3x our population and half the renewable capacity? -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The main issue that no one really talks about is countries like China and India simply have too many people. It's simple math really, when you have billions of people on a planet, the amount of resources available per person is much less. Most of the problems we face today (including climate change) would be far less daunting if we had a smaller world population. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
we really need a world government.... I dont see that happening for a long time. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I would have thought they would have done it in July 2010 when JFK had three 100+ days in a four day stretch. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yes, one of many reasons we need to end corn and soybean subsidies too. All that humidity killed almost 600 people in Chicago that summer. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
the markets should be driving it right now, but we need to get rid of subsidies first. -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The 1.5C scenario is a fictitious goal and has already been surpassed, we'll be lucky to cap it under 3.0C -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
1995: An intense heat wave affected much of the Midwest for a 4-day period beginning on this day. The worst effects of the heat were noted in the Chicago metropolitan area, where 583 people died from the heat. Temperatures across the region reached as high as 104 degrees, overnight lows on falling to the upper 70s to low 80s. Dew point temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s created heat indexes peaking at 125 degrees. Electricity and water usage reached record levels, causing periodic outages. This was the peak of the heat in 1995, centered on Chicago (similar to how the peak of the heat in 1980 was centered on St Louis, with similar lethal results.) The high in Chicago was 106 on back to back days, Tony?? Highs: EWR: 99 (2011) NYC: 99 (1966) LGA: 98 (1966) JFK: 98 (2011) I didn't know NYC had a 99 day in 1966, did they have 5 99+ days in 1966, matching the total from 1949? Of course the heat in 1966 was more intense since 4 of those days were 100+ 2011: High humidity levels and dew points were higher during the summer 2011 compared with 2010, resulting in unusually warm nighttime temperatures. A low temperature of 81 at Richmond on July 12th was the first ever daily low of 80 and above. A steady southwest wind overnight also contributed to this event. (Ref.NWS, Wakefield, Virginia - A New Record High Minimum Temperature) I also didn't remember this early bout of heat in 2011, I thought the heat was centered around July 22-23 when we went way above 100 all around the region?? 1996: Hurricane Bertha makes landfall near Wrightsville Beach, NC with maximum winds of 105 mph, but the storm surge dealt the most devastation. The U.S. Virgin Islands, along with North Carolina, were declared federal disaster areas. Surveys indicate that Bertha damaged almost 2,500 homes on St. Thomas and St. John. For many, it was the second hit in the ten months since Hurricane Marilyn devastated the same area. The primary effects in North Carolina were to the coastal counties and included storm surge flooding and beach erosion, roof damage, piers washed away, fallen trees and damage to crops. Over 5,000 homes were damaged, mostly from storm surge. Storm total rainfall amounts ranged from 5 to 8 inches along a coastal strip from South Carolina to Maine. Overall, as many as 12 deaths resulted with 8 in the U.S. and territories. I remember this hurricane well, it was a Cat 3 just before landfall and tracked up the coast passing right over JFK! It was a weekend and I was in the Poconos, where we had 7 inches of rain! I didn't see rain like this again until Floyd came up here in 1999, ending a summer drought with 10 inches of rain in Eastern PA and NJ. 1936: The hottest three-day periods up to this time in United States history occurred beginning on this date as the average temperature was 88.5°; the second warmest such period occurred three days earlier. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) simply wild how hot this summer truly was and widespread conus heat. 1842: One of the most severe hurricanes in the history of the coastal Carolinas struck the Outer Banks of North Carolina on the evening of the 12th into the 13th. The entire village of Portsmouth was destroyed except for one building. The storm apparently passed inland near Norfolk, VA and caused massive flooding from Virginia into Pennsylvania. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) Tony, do you have any info on how strong this early TC was and on its track, I assume it passed inland west of us? -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I don't think the Chinese live like peasants but I also don't think the standard of living in the US is as high as you think it is either. There are countries in Europe that have higher standards (the Nordic nations, for example.) -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I thought the strongest WAR happens when there isn't a sea breeze? Take 1993 for example. The WAR was so strong, it came inland over NC and gave us a westerly flow for most of the summer. In recent summers, the WAR has been less strong, allowing more fronts to get hung up here and being further offshore thus causing the onshore flow. In the 90s those fronts would be hung up over the Midwest instead of here, that's why you got the Great Flood of 1993, the WAR was so strong it kept the fronts a thousand miles away from us and enveloped us in a westerly flow all summer long -
July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Isn't China building new coal reactors? I thought they said they planned on being net zero by 2060?