LibertyBell

At the same time though it's nothing like 1999 or 2002 this drought has been much more localized. In 1999 for example there was a water emergency in the Poconos. There are water restrictions this year down in the valley cities but it's only because there has been too much rain which has caused sediments to run off into the reservoirs. Nothing for me to worry about because all my water comes from a well. I would use 1971-2000 annual rainfall totals to calculate averages because rainfall became excessive after that Chris.

Yes at around 1650 ft elevation near Lake Harmony. When I set up my Ambient WS-2000 and Ecowitt HP2584 weather stations I had to find the exact lat long and elevation and it came up with 1531 ft but I think that's wrong because it underdoes my Barometric pressure. I had to adjust it upward by about 0.05 inches on both units. If you have an easier way for me to calculate my exact elevation I'd appreciate it Chris. Here are the two numbers I used. Absolute air pressure 28.55 inches Relative air pressure 30.08 inches Is the low absolute air pressure the reason I dont feel the Florida type humidity up here?

As I discussed with Chris last year the boreal forests will be completely gone before or by 2100. That will solve the forest fire problem. I am willing to make that sacrifice if we can save tropical forests like the Amazon and others like Hawaii. There's far more biodiversity in the tropics than in any other part of the world. The Amazon is called the lungs of the planet for a reason. And here's the other thing this planet was fully ice free for 85 percent of its history. Its greatest biodiversity happened when there was no ice on the planet at all. The Mesozoic Era! I consider this poetic karma in a sense the Revenge of the Dinosaurs. The real climate the planet should have had if it wasn't hit by something much worse than human induced climate change a 10 km wide asteroid that hit the Yucatan. I have seen multiple computer simulations of this horrendous event and there's absolutely nothing humans could ever do that would be worse than that global catastrophe. I also strongly adhere to Gaia Theory the history of the planet has shown it will recover from anything and if it could recover from that catastrophe it can recover from literally anything. Humans might not but the planet definitely will and its biodiversity will definitely improve once humanity is gone. Also remember that other species have altered the planet far more than humanity ever could, for example blue-green algae aka cyanobacteria without whom none of us would even be here. As far as sea level rise is concerned I don't even know why anyone would ever want to live at or near sea level. The air is much heavier and higher dew points lead to higher air pollution by trapping car pollutants close to the surface. World governments should mandate people and families moving to higher ground. On top of that as we colonize space and the melting of ice caps causing an excess of water on this planet I have it on good authority that we will use emerging technology to move the excess water to space colonies and to Mars in the coming decades. That will solve our excess water problem and our sea level rise problem and we will also remove excess water vapor since it's a worse greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide. As far as the boreal forests are concerned as the temperature warms that area will become the new bread basket of the world with boreal forests replaced by farms and towns. Russia already has plans to do that with Siberia and I'm sure Canada will too. As people migrate farther north this will be great news for the tropics as our main concern should be preserving the great biodiversity of the tropics.

Yuck I dont think anyone anywhere likes murky high dew point weather. All it does is cause more air pollution by trapping car exhaust particulates closer to the surface and causes breathing difficulties for many. I live on a higher elevation now with very little vehicle traffic here (not even any street lights or traffic lights in this private community) and up here the air is thinner so the temperature falls quite a bit at night so higher dew points dont really mean much up here, I've even seen the Perseids up here through ground fog but I do want clear skies for the peak. But if there is any place that's relatively immune to climate change this is it. I run the heat up here even during the summer if it's not sunny. I'm going to look into solar panels because electric heat is very expensive and I dont feel completely safe with my propane fire places, people up here have had explosive problems with them. Literally!

Yuck, this is ugly high dew point high air pollution weather with car exhaust particulates getting trapped near the surface. I hope this clears out before the Perseids peak next week.

Noted the paragraphs about 1965 and 1999 the droughts back then were far worse than anything that has happened since.

Yes this is the rubber band effect this is why very hot and dry summers usually lead to snowy winters. It also happened in 1966-67.

I appreciate the sentiment but i hope you outlast me My Friend.

I appreciate you. I used to grow tomatoes years ago but I stopped somewhere in the 2010s when I couldn't tolerate their acidity anymore. I grow cucumbers now less acidity and they still taste great. Tomatoes are notoriously sensitive to weather, Too hot too cold too wet too dry etc. Up here in the mountains back in 1996 there was rather sadly a killing frost on May 14 I remember that one clearly because i came back to NY after that weekend and saw a heavy frost the following Monday even on Long Island As far as droughts go I think this one is more localized than the ones I remember from the 1980s and 1990s. 1999 and 2002 stand out clearly in my mind, 1999 even moreso than 2002 because of how it ended with Hurricane Floyd and massive flooding. Both of those droughts were far more expansive. Where I am now there has been at least one inch of rain every week since I relocated here in early April. I've only used air conditioning twice since you can just open the windows at night regardless of how hot it is during the day it almost always gets down into the 50s at night here. Sometimes even colder even in the middle of summer. It's good to get a nice short extreme heatwave around the 4th of July it made up for the monstrous Memorial Day weekend washout. July 4th is notorious for that kind of weather it happened in 1966, 1999 and 2010 too. As far as tomatoes go one of my best growing seasons for pretty much everything was 1993 which saw unparalleled heat all summer long. I dont remember if there was a drought or not that year what I do remember is 5 straight days at or above 100 and 10 straight days at or above 90. I also remember growing corn that year, cantaloupes, sunflowers 9 feet tall and weeds even taller than that lol! I used to garden with my dear Dad and he used some undisclosed fertilizer that is probably illegal now and can't be found anywhere haha. All I remember is seeing a big mound of it in the backyard and a giant beetle flying out of it turning and flying towards me quite slowly and me screaming very loudly and running back into the house. Probably a dung beetle? Good memories that stay with you forever!

I think the summer pattern leads into the winter pattern which is why there's a rubber band effect so our snowiest winters come after our hottest summers. Examples 1966 into 1967 1977 into 1978 1993 into 1994 1995 into 1996 2002 into 2003 2010 into 2011

I love San Diego but the climate would get kind of boring. I like a strong variance in weather between the seasons. So for example a hot and dry summer followed by a snowy winter. 2010 into 2011 is probably the best example of that followed by 1993 into 1994. 1995 into 1996 and 2002 into 2003. 1966 into 1967. 1977 into 1978. Come to think of it i think our snowiest winters come after hot and dry summers.

This 11 year cycle thing really intrigues me although 1911 was on a whole other level even compared to that. I wonder if the sun went through some explosive phase that year. It's useful to remember the vast majority of heat in our solar system originates from the sun. Any changes even a slight change will have magnified consequences downstream. RIP Roger

Heavy rain here now. Having to put down fungicide, toxic runoff and higher numbers of disease carrying pests are major side effects of wetter weather..

I think we will see that kind of summer here next year although our rate of 90 degree temperatures is not rising anywhere nearly as quickly.

Don't look at these crazy records from 1911 103 at Mt Pocono is a sea level adjusted equivalent temperature of 114!! Outside of those 3 days in 1911 Mt Pocono hasn't been hotter than 95!! Five of the top ten are from 1911 including one in May! What was happening that year? In that same torrid stretch Newark hit 103 and Boston hit their all time high of 104 and it even topped 100 in the Green and White Mountains!! https://recordtemps.in/mount-pocono-pennsylvania

I'm kind of surprised that 1991 isn't on that list back in the 90s the common saying was we went straight from winter to summer. 1991 had a mind boggling 6 90 degree days in May and the heat kept going all summer long much like 1988 and 1993 and 1999 and 2010.

https://recordtemps.in/mount-pocono-pennsylvania Thanks I really like that you appreciate all kinds of extreme weather not just the wintry type. I appreciate it all too but I'm much less enthused about severe weather after having a tree fall on the roof of this house back in 2018 and having to get part of the roof and the railing on the balcony replaced. I would still rank that 10 day 1993 heat wave as the most incredible heatwave I've experienced in this area in my lifetime. Have a look at this incredible record from Mt Pocono. https://recordtemps.in/mount-pocono-pennsylvania See how the top 3 all time highest temperatures on record from there are all from the same heatwave in 1911 and how there is nothing else even remotely close to that torrid stretch? I find that absolutely incredible -- and out of the top 10 5 of them are from 1911 including one in May! After seeing this I started to wonder how incredible that 103 at Mt Pocono really was and I read up on lapse rates and how under sunny dry conditions the lapse rate is around 5.5 degrees per 1000 feet. Since Mt Pocono is around 2000 feet that would equate to an absolutely incredible sea level equivalent temperature of 114 degrees! Since we already have sea level equivalent pressure why can't we have sea level equivalent temperature too? I think this is a record that won't be broken in our lifetimes as outside of 1911 the next highest temperature recotded there is 95 and nothing above 94 in our lifetimes. That equates to a much more reasonable 105 to 106 maximum sea level temperature. I really would love to see some sort of map and explanation about the summer of 1911 and what made it so hot. And how both Mt Pocono and Newark maxed out at the same 103 temperature while Boston reached their all time high of 104 during that time period. I read that even the mountsins of Vermont and New Hampshire were over 100 degrees back then. I look at top temperature records and when I find a difference of at least three degrees between number 1 and number 2 I find it particularly historic. So for example July 1966 LGA hit 107 degrees and their next hottest temperature is 104 from July 2011. In that same heatwave EWR hit 108 and their next highest temperature is 105 which has happened many times including twice in the same heatwave in 1993 the same one I consider the most historic of my lifetime since I dont remember the big July 1977 heatwave outside of that blackout we had back then. By the way I find it amusing how some people complain about air conditioning costs and don't complain about the much higher costs of heating. They dont seem quite as happy when they use less heat in the winter. As for me if it's not snowing I dont have any use for cold weather especially if it's windy. By the way some drought this is, it's raining here heavily again tonight!

Climate change affects different places differently which is why I like this term better than global warming. For this region the warming is more in the winter. This isn't just about 1936 either or even Central Park bad siting. 1966 still holds the heat records for both LGA and JFK 107 and 104. I'd argue that 107 at LGA from July 1966 is more impressive than the 108 at Newark from July 2011. And big heat domes aren't a new thing, 1980, 1983, 1988, 1991, 1993, 1995, 1999 and 2002 had plenty of them. It's why I consider the 1980s and 1990s to be hotter especially ranked by duration of heat waves and number of 100 degree days. 1993 is still untouched in that regard. We can even go back to 1911 to see a heat dome as bad as 1936. JULY 2-4 that year Mt Pocono hit 98 99 and 103 on consecutive days and since then has never been higher than 95. I thought that might have been some instrument error but Boston recorded their all time high of 104 during that same torrid stretch.

No it definitely wouldn't be nice. This is only a drought if compared to inflated rainfall averages of the 2000s and 2020s much like a 25 inch snowfall season would be considered a snow drought going by the snowfall averages of that time. Most people dont like rainy summers let alone 10 inches in a month. Summer is tradionally our dry season. This is more normal for Spring or Fall. I dont care about the agricultural cartel either they pump enough toxins into our soil and water and rainfall only makes that worse with toxic runoff. Not to mention the disease carrying bugs that rapidly multiply in wet weather. You can have wet weather in Spring and Fall but summers should be hot and dry which is why our truly hottest summers happened in the 80s and 90s. Thankfully after this el Nino ends so will this wet pattern and we will return to the long term dry pattern that will balance out the inflated rainfall totals of the 2000s and 2010s. And just a reminder water vapor is a much stronger greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide is and traps air pollution and causes breathing problems for many which is why hot and dry weather is so much better for overall health I fully expect next summer to rank with 1966 1983 and 2010 as one of our greatest on record.

Enjoy it for the next few months as soon as this demonic el Nino ends so will these excessive and out of season rainfall totals Next summer will be one of our hottest and driest on record I'm going with 1966 1983 and 2010 as my analogs. We are snapping back from the inflated rainfall totals of the past two decades and this is a tiny blip after this year we return to dry.

Excessive rainfall is much worse than drought. For multiple reasons. Not only does it increase the populations of disease carrying insects like mosquitoes and ticks it also results in toxic runoff from farms and those pesticides and fertilizer end up in our aquifers. I would never eat anything grown here anyway. Water Vapor is a much more powerful greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide is which is why low humidity dry heat feels so good. The days are hotter but the nights are cooler. Our hottest weather comes from the west not from the south the Bermuda ridge is a humidity pump not a heat pump.

The only reason I temporarily returned was to address this. Did you notice the only people who talk about drought are the people who for some reason love rainy summers? Growing up our summers were much hotter and drier than they are now. By the metrics I use our summers have not become significantly hotter since the 1990s. Late 80s through late 90s was peak heat for our region in terms of length of heat waves and number of 100 degree heat. And anyone trying to say heat domes have somehow become stronger or more frequent were not around in 1980, 1983, 1988, 1991, 1993, 1995, 1999, 2002, etc. We dont get heat like that anymore. I'll consider it a hot summer if there are at least two heat waves 7 days or more in length with at least one 100 degree day at a place not called Newark I dont live in Long Island any more I sold that house and moved to the Poconos a few months ago my heating bill was 870 for April and 660 for May. I enjoyed reading that JFK hit 100 three days in a row I wish I was there when it happened it only got to 94 here for 2 days and 90 and 91 on the other days. That was the only time I turned on the air conditioner here. There is no drought of any type I dont care what any color coded map has to say. I have 5 weather stations set up here across 2 acres of land along with stand alone rain gages. There has never been less than 1 inch of rain every week since I moved here. Even if there was who cares summers are supposed to be hot and dry. The rainy weather belongs in spring and fall. PS speaking of heat domes the mother of all heat domes happened in July 2-4 1911 when Mt Oocono hit 98 99 and 103 on consecutive days outside of that they have never been higher than 95. I thought maybe there was an instrument error but I see that Boston had their all time high of 104 during the same heatwave. Mt Pocono is at an elevation of 1915 feet and north of i-80 while I'm at about 1650 feet and south of I-80 so I'm about 1 to 2 degrees warmer than they are so I can't imagine what a 1911 like heatwave would be like here. I think it's interesting that both Mt Pocono and Newark maxed out at 103 during that heatwave though. That was before the concrete jungle existed. Even if we buy the Central Park bad siting excuse the fact remains that neither LGA nor JFK have exceeded the 107 and 104 all time records from 1966. Back to the "drought" issue if we go by what kind of rainfall we are used to there is no drought. We have had inflated rainfall totals since after 2002 so judging rainfall totals based on those inflated totals is like pretending the inflated snowfall averages of the 2000s and 2010s was somehow our new normal. This rainy pattern is a temporary el Nino blip I predicted a regression back to drier summers 2 years ago and I will predict that next summer will be one of our hottest with multiple 100 degree heatwaves right to the coast analogs 1966 1983 2010. If it wasn't for that darned smoke JFK would have had a 4th 100 degree day on July 15. Where's Agent Orange when you need it that would end that smoke problem quickly One other thing it better NOT be cloudy for the Perseid meteor shower it should be the best in years with no light pollution from the moon. I bought a Sigma 16mm f/1.4 lens to photograph it from my bedroom balcony.

Wasn't the February 14-15, 2014 occurrence during a snowstorm, Don?

What's causing this similarity, is it because the higher winds are equalizing temperatures across the region, Don?

I know we do lol. Just not right up next to the road lol. How come there's so many different terms used to describe the same thing 1) wetlands 2) marshes 3) swamps?