LibertyBell

and it's now cloudy here

I hate that. So not only do we have to worry about rising temperatures and rising sea levels, but we also have to worry about higher winds.

it's sunny today so it might go higher than forecast

1920 - A spectactular display of the Northern Lights was visible as far south as Bradenton FL, El Paso TX, and Fresno CA. At Detroit MI, the display was described so brilliant as to blot out all stars below first magnitude. (22nd-23rd) (The Weather Channel) omg -- this must have been absolutely amazing even better than last October here !! 1888: Chicago's morning low dips to one degree below zero, the latest sub-zero Fahrenheit reading in the city's history. This record still stands today. 1888 holds many of our March records ;-)

What about all these forecasts with a cool first half of april because of the SSW?

This is normal for early spring though, still no 70 for NYC or points east, only locations well inland will have that. Looks like we're in a colder pattern until the middle of April where the warmth will be capped off in the 60s and some mornings will be in the 30s (but still above freezing.)

It beat all our surge records including the Norfolk and Long Island hurricane and December 1992. December 1992 is still my top storm for combo of winds and rain and longevity, we've not had anything to match that combo since.

and then we would have had less winds and it would have been more like our other landfalling TCs.

Yes, it was already transitioning, but maybe that track would have caused more damage with much more rainfall? Delaware had around a foot of rainfall on the track it actually took so maybe that rainfall would have made it farther north?

Yes, I think it was one of our most western hurricane landfalls, it actually almost touched the north central Jersey coast before it started to recurve. It made landfall close to where Belle made landfall in 1976 I believe.

and a lot more heavy rain in Gloria! Do you guys remember the original Euro track for Sandy? It was supposed to take it into Belmar, I think, near NYC or just west of NYC on a more northerly track? I've wondered if that would have made the impacts from Sandy even worse if that original Euro track verified-- more rain of course, but maybe higher winds too?

Yes and overall warmer temps all over the Atlantic Basin with strong Bermuda high pressure might actually direct more storms into the Gulf and Florida as we've been seeing, although in recent years we've seen the Bermuda high displaced farther north, which would increase the chances of one coming up this way. I thought that Gloria was moving close to 70 mph at our latitude but perhaps that was wrong. I do remember the eye really opened up at our latitude and we never got a backside of the hurricane except for some gusty winds with partly cloudy skies in the afternoon. But it was extremely rainy that morning and of course schools were closed. We never closed schools for snow but we did for Gloria (completely understandable.) I saw that the damage was much worse out over Suffolk County. Lots of trees down! Our damage was mostly flooding from the heavy rains.

I wonder how late the cherry blossoms will be? And the winter was better down in DC too....

Army Corps of Engineers has projected that our waters can support up to a 145 mph sustained Cat 4.

and even West Hampton Beach had sustained winds of 111 mph and gusts to 156 mph I think it was, so Cat 3 conditions were verified at sea level, which is a lot more than we can say for a lot of Cat 3s that make landfall in this era.

Wild to think we might be *overdue* for another one of these, although we don't know what the return time of a behemoth like this should be, we've not seen anything like it since. As a child, I remember how scary it was hearing news reports about Gloria the night before it was supposed to come in. It was supposedly a Cat 4 abreast of Atlantic City, but of course we know that wasn't true and it was rapidly weakening and its eye was expanding as it approached our latitude. It probably wasn't even a Cat 4 near Cape Hatteras.

Yes, I think there was a time when hurricane strength was determined by MSLP not wind speeds. And that storm could have been much worse even back then, they were lucky it came in at low tide. Even the 1944 hurricane was thought to be Cat 3 at landfall until it was reassessed. It was reassessed down to Cat 2 wasn't it?

If that happened today, it would be horrific. I wonder if there were any actual pressure readings from that storm? Even if it had Cat 3/4 pressure it still wouldn't necessarily be a Cat 3/4?

Thats how Chesapeake Bay was formed and part of that meteor broke off and hit just east of Toms River. Can't be the same event though, I think that was much further back in time?

That looks more like a tree pollen map than a leaf out map. Pollen levels are a bit elevated right now and will only get worse from here =\

But there was also a longwave pattern that sustained the westerly flow from the strong Pac Jet that resulted from the sustained marine heatwave in the West Pac. I saw something in the long term summer maps like what you mentioned as the areas west of us in the OV are predicted to have below normal rainfall. If we develop a flow from that direction it would be able to bring a dry downsloping flow into our region from the SW that is directed into our region by the Bermuda High after passing over the OV.

it does have a question mark at the end

Well, he's shoveling SOMETHING, but it sure aint snow.....

One of our greatest winters of all time, especially February and March!!

They are woefully behind-- 54 mph gusts have already been reported at JFK and 51 mph at LGA.