This reminds me of how we model *track* snowstorms in the winter.
We have to factor climo in, the chances of getting 103+ temps ANY time, let alone June, which is the coolest of the three summer months, are about as high as getting a 30 inch snowstorm.
Yes it can happen, but the chances are slim.
I think 100 is definitely possible in June. I wouldn't go as far as July 2011 temperatures just yet though (which were 103-108). Let's say 98-102 as a range for now. I definitely want all of us to hit 100 (including the south shore.)
Got to go with climate history with whats possible here. If you get more be prepared but no reason to go into uncharted territory yet. CC has not proven itself able to give us that kind of extreme high in the summer yet.
let's see if it happens, but this is like the forecast for January 2015 to me (you know which storm I mean lol, the one the Euro predicted us getting 38 inches of snow lol).
January 2016 I found more believable because it was during a super el nino, but January 2015 not so much.
It's going to be extremely hot no doubt, but I think a range of 98-101 is more likely than 102-108.
Thanks that explains all the extreme heat in 1944, 1948, 1949, 1953, 1955
It matches up with the extreme heat we had in 1991, 1993, 1995, 1999 and 2002.
Just don't believe this is possible in June, do you know it's never been hotter than 101 in June in NYC (1966)?
I go with climate history over fringe models.
I think we could hit 100 on one day, but that's it.
No, historically on these extreme heat days we peak out between noon and 2 PM, this has been my experience with what happened in 1993, 1999, 2010, 2011.
When it gets extremely hot cumulus clouds billow up, even if there is no sea breeze.
anything would be much better than this past weekend and today. I had to do some work in other parts of the house which are cool/moist and was sneezing like crazy. As soon as I got back to my 88 degree bedroom with now 43% humidity my sneezing went away.
I've been this way since I was little, I love hot rooms just like anyone who likes a sauna and/or hot tub.
The heat I use is electric heat (a space heater) it removes moisture from the air, when I use it my Thermo-Hygro sensors record a humidity drop of about 10% (55% to 45%).
The mold is unfortunately in the heating pipes, which is steam heat. I don't use that this time of year, that's set to 62. I use my electric space heater which stops the allergies.
I doubt it will be as hot as 2011 was, you don't see that kind of heat in June.
If it touches 100 like 2012 and 2013 that alone would be historic, but 2011 was 103-108 which is out of range for what's possible in June.