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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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so if we want to change the climate, the first thing we need to do is change the ocean circulation, hmmmm
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Our last snowstorm was in 2022, 1-2 inches is just a slopfest lol.- 3,610 replies
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thats not a noreaster next week, it's a cutter with a southeast wind
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
no the 70s and 80s are an aberration, we usually have a few storms every decade where we get heavy snow and Boston gets fringed or we get heavy snow and Boston gets rain. Of course they average more snow but there's a reason both we and Baltimore have more 20"+ snowstorms than Boston does.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yes, they probably will. Logan is right on the water.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
fwiw that was an amazing time with an amazing amount of cold and snow for us! our biggest storms usually outnumber Boston's though (for example March 1888, December 1947, February 1983, Millenium storm, February 2010, January 2016, etc.)- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
you'd think with a hugger track Boston would be screwed way more than us (like for example in the Millenium storm or late February 2010).- 3,610 replies
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- snow
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
in a way it's good-- do we really want to see, say, 1.1" inches of snow to end a snow "drought"? Not me-- all or nothing, so if we're not going to get at least a few inches, we should get nothing at all. Looks like most are onboard with the idea that our time will come later in the winter, so just wait.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
They are north of you, of course they will do better with snow.- 3,610 replies
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When you look at records going all the back to the 1700s (using the Pennsylvania Weather Book), for Philadelphia and New York City, February tended to be the coldest month. Our coldest recorded temperature is in the middle of February and it's also our snowiest month usually.
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is it at least going to be sunny most of the time or are we going to see more of the muck?
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that second storm could also be very windy!
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It can always be later in February, even towards the end of February like it was in 2015.
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I envision some back end snow, nothing that will accumulate a lot, but we could have a nice post card scene with some light snows all day Sunday at or under 1"- 3,610 replies
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Would you say this was the modern day version of the Blizzard of 1888 but further east? We got a mix of rain and snow here which is weird with heavy snow to the east-- you'd expect the heavy snow to be to the west if it was not all snow here.
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Looks like he's bullish on northern parts of the city, like The Bronx, getting close to 6 inches while JFK area probably gets an inch.- 3,610 replies
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Would you say the week of 1/22-29 is going to be the coldest of the season, even moreso than any future cold that might come in February?
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I do that too lol, there's just too much information to ingest than just reading everything and then replying.
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Is super an official designation? I'm not aware of that if it is.
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Might be more like 2010 for the spring and summer based on the magnitude of the change.
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Chris, it was basically a glorified lake effect belt kind of storm. Outside of a very narrow area, no one got exceptionally high snowfall in that storm and it didn't make it anywhere near the top of the NESIS list.
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
We also saw this time and again in the 80s and early 90s, storms which were progged to be 1-3" type deals for the city and long island ended up being more like T-1". For a storm to overperform there has to be colder air and it's more likely to happen later in the season when the ocean is colder. There is a reason why overperforming storms usually happen in the latter half of February as opposed to right now.- 3,610 replies
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January 2016 was better though it was a bonafide Cat 5 storm.
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
LibertyBell replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
It's quite possible the snowless streak will not be broken. We need 1.0" in one calendar day and it might be possible, or even likely, that does not happen. -
Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
LibertyBell replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
I didn't feel anything here in SW Nassau County. The August 2011 earthquake before Irene was much stronger and it was centered in the SE.