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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
LibertyBell replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Maybe the +AMO.... in the 50s the summers were extremely warm and humid too. Less snowy winters overall that decade also. But the snow we did get was often backloaded, March was the snowiest month. -
It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
LibertyBell replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
I remember the widespread and intense severe weather activity in October 1989 and again in May 1998 and Labor Day 1998-- it almost seems mythic now because of incredibly intense and widespread they were. Going back and reading about October 1989 WOW, that was a severe weather outbreak that affected almost the entire country. And on Labor Day 1998 an F2 tornado hit only a few miles from here -
It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
LibertyBell replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Thanks Ray, that makes a lot of sense because the storms that do survive the wind shear will have to be more intense. And in years when the shear is less (like this year), we'll have hyperactive seasons instead of just moderately more active. -
It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
LibertyBell replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
That was just an almost unbelievable period of intense TC activity that we've not seen anything like that since. I wonder what was different about the 50s vs today? The SSTs are warmer now but we don't see those kinds of storms that far north anymore. -
The sunny, cold weather is wonderful, however we can do without these winds.
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The high winds really sucked.
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Yeah, this is exactly what we talked about awhile back--- geoengineering is being talked about much more often than anyone thought it would be just a decade ago. The only real fact we can say right now is the +1.5C of warming over the past 12 months, we don't know if it was a temporary blip because of the volcano, el nino, or some combo of the two (plus the solar max we're now hitting) and if it's going to get worse right away or plateau for a bit. About 40% of the warming we've seen has no explanation.
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
LibertyBell replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
This is something I've wondered and talked about a lot.... despite the spike in TCs with the latest +AMO period, we haven't seen east coast TCs as strong or as many as we did back in the 1930s-1950s warm AMO period. I wonder why? Most of the bigger storms seem to be concentrated in the GOM. When was the last time we had a Cat 3 hit anywhere from Cape Hatteras on north? -
It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
LibertyBell replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
I don't like the term "atmospheric river" and the media throws it around a lot. It might be a scientific term, but it's more than a little sensationalistic. -
I take it you dont have a lot of hope for the projected event around the 24th do you?
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even that one hit was sort of a peewee hit with around 4 inches in the city and immediate surrounding area lol.
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Not bad at all! Might have been our biggest Valentine's Day snowstorm at least of this century. Ed, you wouldn't happen to have any totals from the 2/14/1899 snowstorm for our area would you?
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Don't worry, I have your back.
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
LibertyBell replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
The zealots on the denier side are MUCH worse. But without getting too political, this should be added, we won't see any needed reforms to the system until we kick the fossil fuel cartel lobbyists out of the system, just like when we kicked the tobacco cartel lobbyists out of the system. -
It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
LibertyBell replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
All of those were nothing more than guesses by anyone. One thing we do know as a fact though, we've hit +1.5C of warming over 12 months and a lot sooner than anyone ever expected. -
I wouldn't call anyone in this forum a "climate specialist" they are all just giving their guesses. Here's a fact though-- we've hit +1.5C of warming over the last 12 months and faster than we thought we would. Can't argue with facts. Let's see where we go from here.
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are rapid pattern shifts also connected to much faster moving storms? By the way the notable exception to all this was our stuck pattern with the omega block when we were cloudy for a week straight.
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4:1 to 6:1 when you went inland it was more like 8:1
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it could also be a split flow and leave us high and dry in between correct?
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I mean, his name is "snowman"-- maybe he needs a "boost"?
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I still remember when you were so excited about January 2016. That was our last --true-- great set up for snow. The ones since have been more borderline. They've had temp issues or the storm has been moving too quickly or we were on the edge.
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at least we're getting to the time of year now where it's more likely to mean warm and sunny rather than just dreary and rainy, I'm remembering some amazing March weather like March 1990
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2/13 Significant/Major Winter Storm Discussion & Observations
LibertyBell replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
Plus it also helps with sound enhancement. -
2/13 Significant/Major Winter Storm Discussion & Observations
LibertyBell replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
It seems like we're in a pattern of winters where the farther you are from the Atlantic, the better. -
Wow, this is absolutely amazing, thanks Tony! It's weird seeing 1935-36 in the list of coldest winters and coldest winter months considering how mild and snowless the 1930s generally were, if anything I would have thought 1933-34 would have the coldest winter and coldest month of that decade because of how extreme February 1934 was!