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LibertyBell

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Everything posted by LibertyBell

  1. LibertyBell
    it's around a 20-25 yr cycle I think we had this same cycle back in the 70s to the first half of the 90s, it flipped in the mid 90s. 1967-68 to 1992-1993 was a -PDO? That means a 25 year cycle I'm thinking it will flip again around 2042. We have awhile-- but it doesn't mean that we won't get good winters, they'll just be extremely rare. We still had 1977-78 in the middle of that cycle but that was the only really good winter. Aside from that we had an HECS in February 1983 so that's the only other possibility- one HECS to make the entire winter near or slightly above average for snowfall.
  2. LibertyBell
    and now we're getting a giant solar storm!
  3. LibertyBell
    Why is the wind coming out of the south here? I noticed it's westerly over NJ, typically with a strong west wind it pushes all the marine air offshore and the west wind makes it to the coast after a frontal passage.
  4. LibertyBell
    It was 52 here last Sunday, I think it will probably be about the same as that. Man, that day sucked lol. Windy to boot!
  5. LibertyBell
    It's almost impossible not to hit 50 this time of year. So I'll go with climatology and say we will at least get into the 50s.
  6. LibertyBell
    yup looks like the rain comes back after the beginning of the week.
  7. LibertyBell
    I was looking at the 7 day and it looked like partly sunny Monday - Wednesday. Our pattern seems to be nice the first 2-3 days of the week and wet and cool for the second half of each week.
  8. LibertyBell
    this is probably 10 degrees too cold.
  9. LibertyBell
    after Sunday it will be warm and dry again
  10. LibertyBell
    yes my favorite kind of weather-- except for some reason we dont have a west wind here?
  11. LibertyBell
    I dont believe it, temps usually overperform
  12. LibertyBell
    Protest against your employer instead of doing everything you are told to do.
  13. LibertyBell
    I remember seeing this map with correlations, with the midatlantic being warmer with a -NAO and new england being warmer with a +NAO and we were in between (that is much less of a correlation, at least during the spring and summer.) 2010 was definitely our warmest spring and summer on record going by 90 degree days and several years in the 90s were right behind-- specifically 1991 and 1993 as well as 1999 and 2002. 1983 was another one that was extremely hot with number of 90 degree days.
  14. LibertyBell
    2010 was definitely the hottest on record, but 1991, 1993, 1999 and 2002 came in right after that. 1983 held the record before that.
  15. LibertyBell
    the 1990s were much hotter and drier dude, compare this spring to spring 1991 in New York City that was one of the hottest summers too, along with 1993 and 2010. Check out maximum length of heatwaves 1990s vs now. Specifically between 1991-2002.
  16. LibertyBell
    it's because of lower humidity and much drier air back then I loved that climate, I hate high rainfall and lower high temps.
  17. LibertyBell
    There is a reason why this is happening-- it's raining much more now than it did back then. The extreme amount of rainfall and high soil moisture is the reason why high temperatures are being blunted-- I hate it! I love high heat and low rainfall and low humidity.
  18. LibertyBell
    Yes this is why action has been delayed. It's very similar to what happened with PFOA and the sugar cartels too.
  19. LibertyBell
    Thats why I said I would cap all hurricanes to Cat 1 and all tornadoes to EF1, up to then it's fun and rare.... anything past 1.... no thank you, Florida can handle it a lot better than we can.
  20. LibertyBell
    79 here now, it's really nice!
  21. LibertyBell
    High of (edit) 79 here about 5 miles east of JFK
  22. LibertyBell
    It got close to 80 here too.
  23. LibertyBell
    It makes me cringe to see all those homes destroyed. It's best when it happens out in the middle of empty land, then we can admire it from a distance. I don't like lightning either-- it has destroyed expensive electronics for me in the past. I love all other types of weather, extreme heat, extreme cold, extreme precip totals (rain or snow or ice) and hurricanes too-- because by the time they get up here they are at most Cat 1. If I lived in Florida I wouldn't be a fan of hurricanes either. F1 tornadoes are okay.
  24. LibertyBell
    It makes me wonder why anyone would ever want to live in that part of the country. I have zero interest in severe weather and never want to see anything like this happen. We live in a good place for getting very little severe weather and no tornadoes that are stronger than EF2.
  25. LibertyBell
    I wonder why -NAO are now much more likely in Spring in a solar maximum year rather than in winter? Next winter looks like it will lack blocking for all intents and purposes just like this winter has and the one before it, but why are we getting these blocks in Spring now which did not happen in the 1990s? If you look at solar maximums from the 1990s, like 1991, we had a positive NAO for most of the year so every month was well above normal (22 out of 24 above normal months.)
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