LibertyBell
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Everything posted by LibertyBell
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It's likely we'll just go from one extreme to the other, it's usually the way nature works. Some people forget that humans are also a part of nature.
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Those 2-3 days of clear weather were my favorite weather conditions of the entire spring, looks like we'll get another period like that starting Sunday and continuing for a few days after that. I long for years like 2002, very warm to hot and dry with low humidity and clear blue skies. Rainfall is good to get, if it happens for short intervals and only at night, getting that 2 nights a week with showers and thunderstorms would probably be enough.
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We sure have had many of these, it's the 3rd one that I remember in the last 2 weeks and it looks like a rainout for Memorial Day weekend too. Our reservoirs are over 101 percent now.
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Just my own definition of a stuck pattern is precip that lasts for 3 days or more.
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if it's in the morning and then it stays cloudy all day then it's definitely a wash out. No one wants wet ground with cloudy gloomy skies.
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I was fascinated by the extremes on all the continents so I went about looking for different measurements with temperature and snowfall and for Asia I found a big extreme in temps between Omyakon and Verhoyansk (the dual cold poles in Siberia) vs Ahwaz in Iran.... going from -96 to +130. The really interesting thing is those two towns in Siberia can go from nearly 100 degrees in the summer to nearly -100 degrees in the winter, I don't think you can get that kind of extreme range anywhere on the planet besides there and maybe the major city closest to them-- Yakutsk. Besides northern Japan, the other region in that area with such extreme snowfall is the Kamchatka Peninsula in eastern Siberia (which is geographically close to northern Japan).... I saw a nature documentary of this very beautiful region and the diversity in flora and fauna there is absolutely amazing!
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That's not to say you can't get a -nao in the middle of such a pattern or even that you need a -nao for a big snowfall winter. Just don't expect a sustained period like 02-03 through 10-11 occurring anytime soon.
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It's been flooding and I heard a school bus was swept away in the flooding in Maryland. I don't mind 1 inch rainfall events, but 2-3 inch events and more are excessive and indicative of the harm that can be caused by stuck patterns. I've always maintained that floods are more dangerous than droughts. I wish we could get a moderate amount of rain, instead of excessive rainfalls that last many days at a time. I find it interesting how snowfall events are in and out in less than 24 hours (often 12 hours or less) but rainfall lingers for days on end.
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Why do TV mets sound like a broken record with *not a washout not a washout* etc. Why do they care if we think it's a washout or not? My definition of washout: If it rains in the morning and is cloudy for the entire day, regardless of whether it rains the rest of the day or not, it's a washout! I don't want wet ground or cloudy skies. It never rains an entire day anyway, so calling it *not a washout* has no real meaning. For example, although it is not raining right now*, it's been a washout. So just say it's going to rain and don't use the W word at all!
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Looks like the sun is trying to come out here again. Good, I need to go pick up dinner in 30 minutes.
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This is why we need to create a large body of water to our NW!!
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Lebron James also choked against the Mavs. 4-6 finals record vs 6-0 you can't compare him to MJ. Everyone realizes it too it's why MJ's sneakers still outsell everyone else's.
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This is true, although I'm sure in the mountains of Japan you can find such beauty too.
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Actually Sapporo and other such cities in Hokkaido are probably more like Nova Scotia or Newfoundland cities since they get the same kind of coastal noreaster snowstorms, just more juiced up because of better tropical moisture coming in from the Pacific as well as more elevation.
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But there are large beautiful cities in Hokkaido, something Alaska lacks.
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Asia is far larger than just Siberia. Siberia has the coldest temperatures, Northern Japan has the most snowfall. TC action in the Pacific is far more intense and frequent than it is here.
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I think we'll get more October 2024 like rainfall shut outs. Just not in the spring lol.
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Asia has far more interesting weather including much larger snowstorms (see northern Japan), more extreme temperatures and much more and stronger tropical cyclones. North America is a tiny puny continent when compared to Asia (and especially Eurasia).
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
You have a very curious polyannaish attitude. -
I was wondering where the clippers and bowling ball storms disappeared to, we used to get 2-4 and 3-5 inch snowstorms multiple times a year and those are very rare now. I remember the last time we got storms like that was during the 03-04 and 04-05 winters. We even got super clippers that redeveloped offshore (January 2005). Bowling ball systems in 1993-94 starting in December.
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no need for advisories-- they just issued a multi county flash flood warning !! For Somerset, Monmouth, Morris and Hunterdon countries until 7:30 pm
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Getting very windy here now.
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But both of these remind me of the 80s and early 90s when we had a lot of hugger and suppressed tracks too. But we at least got to 20 inches of snowfall in most years (especially during the early and middle 80s) because of moderate 3-5 inch events. It was very windy back then too-- we used to have snow to rain followed by wind chill warnings and temperatures near 0 and wind chills down to -60 (I know they calculated it differently back then.) It was always either cold, windy and dry or wet and warm/mild lol.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
You'd think with the dust causing darker skies the temperature should have been less (like our darker skies during the Canadian wildfires a few years ago). In 1936 the skies got darkened over NYC like they were a few years ago when we had an AQI of 500 in June, do you think the AQI would have been even worse during the Dust Bowl era and if so why wouldn't the dust blocking the sun actually cause lower temperatures like it did a few years ago? -
Yeah I saw ants swarming around my steps when I went to get the mail the other day, that reminded me to get started.
