LibertyBell

Finally! It's about time! Would 1980 be a good analog for what's about to happen? A rainy and cool first three weeks of June (record cool lows on Tony's daily records posts have been from 1980 lately) and an abrupt shift to hot and steamy from June 20th to September 20th. Although the epicenter of the big heat was St Louis that year, NYC had their hottest ever 62 day couplet (July-August) with both months averaging 80 or higher and August 1980 was our hottest August on record!

hopefully it's dry heat... how long is this supposed to last? if it's like July 2010, we had dew points in the 40s (45-48) when it was over 100.

isn't that when the AMO changed from - to +? our tropics were very quiet before 1995

Yes we are, all major models in agreement for 100 degree heat next week

I cant wait for my 100 degree heat starting next week, enough of this rainy cold nonsense.

Yes and here too, no more of this sea breeze nonsense.

Good, let it burn.....

the only water I want to see for the next three months is the water coming out of my hose and the water I drink and wash with.

this is shitty weather, power bills, what about those of us who had our heat on? We need our summer back and it's coming back and anyone who whines about wanting rain before September, I will pounce on them like a tiger on a lamb.

There is one way, get rid of at least half of the shitty water vapor from the atmosphere.

at least you didn't get the rain we have here, 61 and rainy all day yuck

it looks like the sun has been trying to come out

we have to look at 90 degree days to judge heat not average temperatures. In September 1983 for example, there were 7 90 degree days and a scorching 99 on September 11th. I wonder how many Junes have had 7 90 degree days and peaked at 99? Maybe a couple at most.

July 2, 1993 we had a split of 66/62 (actually similar to today with windy onshore flow and heavy rain.) A few days later we were off to the races with one of the most extreme heatwaves on record and one of the hottest summers on record, many of whose records still stand today (3 days in a row of 100+ at NYC, 5 days in a row of 100+ at EWR and 9 100+ days for the season at EWR, most 90 degree days at NYC with 39, tied 1991.)

Yes, I wonder if 1980 would be a good analog, I think we had big storms and big heat that summer. A late starting summer but it lasted a long time.

We have to look at recent trends more, September become a summer month now. Even October.

This kind of reminds me of the evolution of the hot summer of 1980. From Tony's daily posts you can see that there were a bunch of cold low records from 1980 even at JFK from early to mid June. But the summer really began around June 20th as heat from the west expanded eastward. Although Saint Louis was the epicenter of the heat that summer, NYC had their hottest July-August couplet on record that year with those 62 days averaging over 80 degrees with August 1980 the hottest August on record here! The heat matched up with astronomical summer really well as it began on June 20th and ended September 20th. I remember a few of us brought up 1980 as an analog to this summer.

Yes that definitely looks like a NW flow event here, we could have the highest temperatures of the tristate area here!!

No our news said the last dry weekend was actually April 17-18 The good news is this WILL be the last wet weekend, the rain party comes to a screeching end after this abysmal storm dies.

I guarantee you we wont get a day as cold as today in September.

61 degrees here at low noon =\

why are these models showing 70s on the south shore though?

well now September is becoming hotter than June lol about December, winter really starts after midmonth, early December still feels like fall.

wow this is absolutely amazing, even the Poconos at 2000 ft will hit 95!!

with our snowfall too, it seems like our first snowfall is around the winter solstice December 21 and our last snowfall is around the vernal equinox March 21.