LibertyBell

my first snowstorm memory!! sometimes people forget that entire week was very cold and we had another (minor) snowstorm a week later, about an inch of snow here!!

Something we might never see again

Fortunately, Sunday will be the last cloudy and rainy day, a strong push of cold air will drive all of this muck well offshore.

This makes sense and why we get longer periods of dry weather and longer periods of wet weather. As far as the current pattern is concerned, we're going to need a strong push of cold air to drive the moisture south of us so we can clear out and finally get sun back.

where do the record 500mb ridges come from? how accurately can we predict them in advance, Chris?

looks like lots of flooding. I'd rather have April 2002

I noticed that the fast Pac flow makes it drier in the fall and winter but wetter in the Spring. I wonder if it will go back to drier again as the jet stream moves north for the Summer. 1966 would have been my favorite summer (never experienced it but just reading about it) and 1966-67 would have been my favorite winter of that decade.

Yep, my advice is west of Oceanside and north of Island Park is good! Lots of birds around here for birdwatching too, I don't know if they're here because of the stuff I planted or if they were always here and I just started noticing them since I got a birding camera, but I never knew so many different bird species live so close to the city. There's one I haven't ID'ed yet, it looks like a very large starling but it has a large fan shaped tail which it opens and closes. It's a dark brown color.

I'm 10-15 minutes from there. I use three weather station data, 2 in Lynbrook, one in Valley Stream and one in Oceanside.

I love 5 corners, where all the main roads meet lol. It's still thundering here intermittently. This is real spring weather, anything can happen at any time (aside from snow of course.)

There was a break and more heavy rain and thunder has moved in here in SW Nassau

It's raining so hard here it could be a damn monsoon!! Whomever said it wasn't going to rain were very obviously wrong. I trust the forecasts put out by our local news stations much more than any individual model, because the news station forecasts tend to be right. Rain for the next 4 days, not all the time, but for a good percentage of the time. Experiencing a deluge right now! I just heard thunder too!

almost 20 inches in that storm in Philly!

Yes, I enjoy April snow more than March snow too lol. I think the atmosphere needs to reload after a snowy February so March is often skipped over. When we get a lot of snow in March it's often after a lackluster mild winter (the 1950s are a great example of this.) It's either that or December and January have been mild and the snow season really gets going later on after January 20th and lasts through March (2014-15 was like this.) Or if it's a really great winter with a lot of snow in every month then the pattern reloads during an extended multiweek thaw in January (1966-67 and 1995-96 were like this.) It's the same reason why a snowy November usually means the first half of winter will be a dud, the pattern needs to reload (2012-13 was like this.)

1987 - A storm in the southeastern U.S. produced a trace of snow at Mobile, AL, one inch at Jackson MS, and two inches at Meridian MS, the latest snow of record for those three locations. Birmingham AL received seven inches of snow, and up to nine inches was reported in northeast Alabama. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) (The National Weather Summary) So we can get suppression even in April ;-)

Interesting how 1967 went from record cold and snow to record highs the last two days Tony.

we've officially gone past +1.5C a few years ahead of time.

too early for planting either way, although I have a large cluster of daffodils in my back yard now (6 have already flowered.)

thinking of 2002-03 which was one of our best

moderate can also be very good (also depends on other factors).

it's interesting with such a strong ridge we're not going to get all that warm. What kind of ridge did we have in April 2002 that caused that amazing heat? And in April 2010 when we had our earliest 90 degree day (92) on record?

Around the 10th? We're going to need an exceptional airmass. I would bet on not getting to freezing but maybe 35-36 or so. That can happen a lot this time of year in a cold airmass.

it's been raining most of the morning, I woke up to drip drip drip lol. For me a sucky day this time of year is overcast and damp regardless of temperatures. A good day is blue skies and sunshine regardless of temperatures (it's never going to be all that cold during the day this time of year unless there's an April 1982 kind of airmass which never happens anymore.)

wow and Tampa's record is from a much hotter year overall, 1991 had one of our hottest summers on record. Tampa could experience its earliest four-day heatwave on record during April 2-5. The existing record is April 26-29, 1991.

I'd worry a lot more about historic flooding. No one deserves what the midwest and south are going to get over the next few days.