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Everything posted by psv88
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35 now. Maybe tonight is the night we freeze
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
psv88 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
4-12? Might as well be really bold and call for 1-12”- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
psv88 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Still an eternity before this storm to really get invested. I expect the trend of the last 3 years to play out, which is repeated bumps N and W until it rains for everyone and it cuts to Pittsburgh- 3,610 replies
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This. I would take an inch at this point
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Nobody ever said it was over.
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Right. The cleaner air was an underestimated source of warming.
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We haven’t been below freezing even here in the suburbs in 6 days. Crazy for end of December and it could be another full week…so that would be 2 weeks without a low below freezing outside of the heat island…
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Good interview of John Homenuk (earth light) regarding the winter forecast. https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2023/12/will-it-be-a-white-christmas-will-new-york-ever-get-snow.html
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I remember this storm, or the aftermath of it, well. I was coming back from Europe visiting family and remember seeing how there was no snow on the twin forks and how the snow amounts really ramped up as one hit western Suffolk into the city. Was upset to have missed the storm.
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Great. Go back there and stop harassing Bluewave, one of the best posters in this forum who has been a well respected poster here for many years. see ya!
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Nobody, especially Bluewave, cares about your metric for respect. Where is your winter forecast? I haven’t seen you post any forecasts at all, which elicits zero respect.
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Who cares? LR forecasting is a crapshoot and most LR forecasters get it wrong. Your attempts to discredit him won’t work. His accuracy extends well beyond 1-2 weeks, Try 1-2 months. I ask you. Who has been more accurate than him since November? Name one met/poster. we will wait.
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Hit 58, record for this date for my location going back 9 years
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57. Helluva way to run a pattern change…
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No.
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People need to stop wishcasting, some never learn and it makes this board hard to read. It’s hard to see the same posters fall into the same traps every year for the last 15 years. science isn’t about following your heart, it’s about following the facts.
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No snow in northern Maine headed into the new year? Can’t be common…
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Record number of consecutive foggy days in these parts? @donsutherland1 @bluewave
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More fog!!!!!
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He’s not wrong, might be delayed but not denied. The can is kicked but only by a week or so
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The issue with a pattern change in February is that you won’t get a long lasting snowpack. At most the snow sticks around for a week. when you get nice snow in December and early January you can get that glacier which sticks around for 30-40 days. so for me this winter already will fall short because we won’t have the chance for a long lasting snow pack
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Lots of triggered snowflakes in this forum…