weatherextreme

Pete Delkus 20 mins · Watching a little cluster of storms in Dallas & Tarrant Counties. This is not severe and is unlikely to become severe. Heavy rain is possible. #wfaaweather

https://livestormchasing.com/chasers/nick.busby At Crowell, TX Lots of chasers at this location

Reed just mentioned that he saw a funnel. On stream

Reed Timmer is live

The severe thunderstorm watch probs for wind/hail Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events High (80%) Probability of 10 or more severe wind events Mod (60%)

DFW did have an EF4 plow through it in Dec of 2015. Those types of events don't happen very often.

90/70 Probs for the watch. Pretty close to a PDS watch

Looks like the SPC thinking some intense tornado's might be possible from the current Tornado watch area. Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible" 60/30 Probs.

https://livestormchasing.com/chasers/brandon.copic

https://katv.com/watch

Something might be developing on Reed's stream

Reed is live streaming

Reed Timmer@ReedTimmerAccu·3hStill though, given such strong kinematics and massive hodographs across warm sector on Thursday, especially MS into AL, I do expect a significant tornado event

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0112.html Mesoscale Discussion 0112 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0625 PM CST Wed Feb 02 2022 Areas affected...much of central Oklahoma Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation Valid 030025Z - 030430Z SUMMARY...A mix of freezing rain, sleet, and moderate snow is expected to continue across central Oklahoma into the evening hours. A gradual change over to snow is expected to happen across central into eastern Oklahoma as low to mid-level temperatures continue to cool from west to east. DISCUSSION...An embedded mid-level impulse is pivoting around the broader upper trough and is ejecting into the southern Plains, contributing to an uptick in more widespread moderate to heavy wintry precipitation. Instances of freezing rain and sleet have been reported across northern TX into eastern OK, with northern OK experiencing brief occasions of moderate snow. The 21Z and 00Z OUN observed soundings showed 0-1C temperatures just above 850 mb (1500-1700 meters above ground level), with KTLX/KFDR dual-polarimetric radar data depicting a band of higher ZDR/lower correlation-coefficient values from Cotton/Jefferson to Creek Counties in OK, indicating the location of the wintry precipitation transition zone. However, some of the last few radar scans show an eastward propagation of the transition zone. While wintry mixed precipitation is expected to persist, a gradual transition to mostly snow is possible from western to eastern OK as the 850 mb temperatures continue to slowly cool. However, despite the near-saturated troposphere, temperatures above 850 mb hovering near the freezing mark may reduce efficiency in dendrite production, with snow rates expected to be moderate, perhaps reaching 1 inch/hour rates on a brief basis. Wintry mixed precipitation should persist the longest across eastern OK.

SPC has a highlighted day 2 slight risk for 10/23 , day3 enhanced Risk for 10/24 and two severe highlighted day 5 and 6 outlooks.

5% Tor added for today

Looks like most of it hit south of Dallas

ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Flash Flood Warning National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1052 PM CDT Sat Jun 5 2021 The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has extended the * Flash Flood Warning for... Southwestern Collin County in north central Texas... * Until 100 AM CDT. * At 1052 PM CDT, Doppler radar indicated continued thunderstorm development across southwest Collin County producing additional heavy rainfall. Multiple reports of urban flooding have been received from McKinney to Plano. Between 3 and 5 inches of rain have already fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly. HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms. SOURCE...Radar. IMPACT...Flooding of small creeks and streams, urban areas, highways, streets, and underpasses as well as other poor drainage and low lying areas. * Some locations that will experience flash flooding include... Plano, McKinney, Frisco, Allen, and Fairview.

TOG on stream StormChaserIRL - Twitch

Nathan confirmed a TOG on his stream StormChaserIRL - Twitch