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Hoosier

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Everything posted by Hoosier

  1. Well, in theory that could put the sub in a battle zone of sorts. Hopefully we won't be taking loss after loss with storms always cutting too far west lol
  2. Always nice to have the Lake Michigan cheat code when synoptic ain't working out.
  3. Anyone know what the week by week breakdown is like?
  4. There has been a noticeable trend toward secondary low development late weekend/early next week across the guidance. Unfortunately cold air doesn't get in very quickly as currently modeled.
  5. If you're farther southeast, the only hope for this upcoming storm is if some additional energy can come around and sort of force the surface low to redevelop farther south/east. There are suggestions of it on some models so I guess we'll see.
  6. Figures. Remember my comment about the GFS tending to overamp but probably nailing this one.
  7. At least the near shore temps should come up a bit. Probably not major though. I think there would have to be a real junk airmass to still be causing issues near the lake in January.
  8. Yeah that was quite a shift. Just when you think you know the models. And the end of the 00z Euro has a major bomb in the making. Would've been nice to see that go out another 12-24 hours lol
  9. LC actually seems like one of the better long range guys over the years. At least he doesn't try to spin toward cold/snow on a regular basis, so this is more encouraging than somebody like JB saying it.
  10. Agreed... the seasonal futility records are already out of play in some areas, such as IND.
  11. 12z Euro is a good case of a model almost going out of its way to drum up among the most boring outcomes possible.
  12. Seriously though, cold air does look iffy no matter where it goes. Maybe there will be just enough for a band of snow.
  13. ICON flips to snow too. Guys, I'm optimistic again.
  14. Delayed timing compared to GFS but of course we get a cutter on the 12z Euro.
  15. I don't know if it's seeing all this bare ground or what but the month seems milder than it has been to date. Will be accelerating the positive departures for sure.
  16. Don't mind me. Been a tough month locally. Optimism hasn't worked so...
  17. GFS has had an issue with overamping some storms in the long range but watch it nail this one
  18. Good point. No guarantees on how individual storms work out, but if it does end up near/colder than average and wetter than average, you'd take your chances with that combination.
  19. It is what it is. It is borderline impossible to have consistent winter with no breaks/thaws at any time the closer you get to 40N (really more like 41-42N). For areas that missed the recent storm in the OV, this Dec has been a little extreme in its suckiness but what are ya gonna do?
  20. I'll take action of any kind at this point. Been unbelievably boring locally.
  21. It must be n/w of the big cities. BOS has 11.5" this month... a nice total but not into elite territory.
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