SouthBuffaloSteve

Exciting news for sure but we’ve seen these pickups before and they never pay off with our current team culture. This team has had enough pieces to put together a good run but it’s been a decade since they have had any kind of team chemistry to keep stringing together winning streaks. They have no back bone and let teams come in and push them around and wonder why they can’t win. The dumpster might now be on fire just yet, but it’s filled with gas and the matches aren’t far away. Don’t get me wrong I want to see the Sabres excel this year but they need a full blown culture change through the organization to get it done. And give me crap if you want... Eichel is great player but I don’t see him being the leader the team actually needs.

Gonna be a fun week model watching.

GFS says LAKE EFFECT next weekend...

If the KC game gets flexed you Sunday maybe an October Snow Game?

I think it all depends how the storm impacted you with how it would rate. Would be hard for me to rank a storm I didn’t live through or don’t really remember. I’d say... 1. Nov 2014. Just epic. 2. Oct 2006. The destruction was just insane. 3. Dec 2001. Crazy snow total but really didn’t have a huge impact like Nov 2014 did. 4. Dec 2010. Was right in the small sweet spot for this one. Was also stranded in my vehicle for 4 hours. 5. Nov 2000. The impact to the downtown commute has never been repeated. Sleep Pick. Jan 2017. The intensity and timing of that band 28” in 6 hours not well forecasted hitting the height of the PM commute.

He just tweeted a “proof of life” video as he was leaving the White House.

This would be that cell. Would have been right down my line of sight along the lakeshore.

Was hoping for some sunset spout watching but storms came in too late and was too dark. Got a few nice lightning shot. Quality sucks uploading to here. Thoughts on the red circle? Waterspout?

Ain’t no quit with the action off Erie tonight. Another round firing up right over top of us...

The CoCoRaHS spotter in West Seneca is closing in on 4.0” since midnight last night. Looks like the sweet spot ended up being South Buffalo, Lackawanna, West Seneca with that little sneaky area of lake enhancement we had overnight. Guess that 6” output might not be to far fetched if we get another round or two tomorrow.

Cho Cho! Here comes the lake effect rain train! Looks like it’s gonna be a noisy night! WOW... that cell over Lake Ontario looks NASTY!

Mark it on the calendar! KBUF will be blind for week starting 10/8. I would expect nothing less than some sort of impactful storm affecting us during the outage. Will be exciting to get the upgrade before the start of LES season though!

Might only be rain but I’m pretty pumped to follow this setup for the next couple days. KBUF still downplaying the rain totals. Most model output is showing 3-6” of rain over the next 3 days... KBUF saying “weak lake effect rain showers” and just an inch or so. We shall see!

18 runs of the Hi Res really want to blow up that lake band over BUF. 4-6” of rain through Friday AM? KBUF office doesn’t even sound interested in their AFD...

I’m so done with this lie. This f*in hypocrite gets on TV everyday criticizing us for not wearing a mask. Blames us for being selfish and spreading the virus. Threatens to arrest those of us that don’t comply. Having his health department go around closing business that don’t follow the rules. This isn’t about keeping us safe. It’s about control and bringing down Trump. This boob needs to resign!

GFS has been pretty consistent flipping us to the cooler and wetter pattern come Oct 1. Even popping some higher elevation flakes now.

Like excessive cow farts have been known to cause wobbles .

Well the snow spotters at ERI were just quoted saying they are not measuring snow by the generally accepted guidelines of 4 measurements every 6 hours... measuring in 3 hour intervals during the day when compression is highest then at an 8 hour interval overnight when compression is less. Also they are summing 5 daily measurements instead of the accepted 4. I believe this should make the data unofficial! .

Something is certainly not right! What are these sudden precip spikes during overcast conditions? How does 15.6" of snow only add 2" to the snow depth?

Good luck if you come up chasing this year. Feel free to hit me up if you do I can give you better specifics for a good hunt around Buffalo.

Keep your eyes on the upstate blog and wait for us all to start losing our $hit in the T minus 5 day range. If your traveling you got to be ready to drop everything and go. We're usually pretty accurate hitting these events but sometimes they do dud out, the big ones sometimes are a surprise. If your hitting the Buffalo area and looking for lodging I recommend the Hamburg area close to I 90. Your right in the middle of it usually and worst case only a 20-30 minute drive to the northern and southern band areas. Ive never chased off Ontario but heard it's quite an experience. Anywhere along 81 from Oswego to Watertown is gold. But you better be prepared for some extreme snow.