But how out of control was the first wave? If you go by the “positivity rate” that Cuomo uses as one of his main metrics then we still have not eclipsed the severity of the first wave. The weekly rate in April was running 20-30% which is mind boggling now as a 4% rolling average technically triggers a red zone. We have no idea how many people actually had COVID back in the Feb-May time frame due to the lack of testing. It very well could be similar to where we are now. For the entire month of April less than 15,000 total tests were done. Last week alone total testing was over 42,000. It’s a valid point that If you increase your testing 10 fold your going to see a similar increase in the number of total tests coming back positive.
I’m not doubting we are surging into the expected second wave now, but we just don’t have the data to compare it against the first wave.
These are Erie County numbers I am referencing, so maybe we are just an anomaly here. I mean Cuomo did say we weren’t impacted by COVID here during the first wave so...