SouthBuffaloSteve

Barn blown apart in Mayville.

Tornado Warning #3! BW you should have booked it to E Ville! BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Buffalo NY 632 PM EDT Thu Jul 16 2020 The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southwestern Cattaraugus County in western New York... * Until 700 PM EDT.. * At 632 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 10 miles west of Salamanca, moving east at 25 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Salamanca and Allegany State Park around 700 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Vandalia, Carrollton, East Randolph, Ellicottville, Steamburg, Kill Buck, Napoli, Little Valley, Great Valley and Randolph. This includes Interstate 86 between exits 16 and 21. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

Nice Dude!

Intercept down in E Ville!

Tornado Warning #2! BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Buffalo NY 550 PM EDT Thu Jul 16 2020 The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Southwestern Cattaraugus County in western New York... Southeastern Chautauqua County in western New York... * Until 630 PM EDT.. * At 550 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Falconer, or near Jamestown, moving east at 25 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Falconer around 600 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Gerry, Conewango, East Randolph, Steamburg, Napoli, Ellington, Celoron, Randolph, Kennedy and New Albion.

Need to keep an eye on that area of storms just north of Jamestown!

Flooding in West Seneca. Orchard Park Road is currently closed with stranded vehicles

This was posted from North Collins around 440

I think you got a good spot BW! Cell is splitting up quiet a bit. The one your going to intercept is really nice looking on the backside! That next line is looking pretty darn good too!

I’d say that’s a good bet. The little bit of rotation I can still see on radar is moving more due East due towards Colden area.

Mesoscale Discussion 1240 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 161618Z - 161815Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorm coverage is expected to increase across eastern OH, western PA, and far western NY over the next few hours. Conditions are favorable for some severe thunderstorms, with damaging wind gusts as the primary threat. A tornado or two is also possible. DISCUSSION...Recent surface analysis places a low over far southern Lower MI, with a cold front extending back south-southwestward through western OH and southern IN. A pre-frontal trough also arcs eastward and then southwest across OH. Some deep cumulus has been noted in the vicinity of this pre-frontal trough over the past half hour. Deeper cloud billows have also been noted across eastern OH and into western PA, where air mass destabilization is occurring amid filtered daytime heating and low-level moisture advection. Expectation is destabilization and forcing for ascent along the two surface boundaries (augmented by ascent attendant to low-amplitude shortwave trough) to persist, resulting in scattered thunderstorm development from eastern OH into western PA. Enhanced low-level flow throughout the eastern periphery of the shortwave trough will support moderate low-level shear and the potential for a few stronger, more organized updrafts capable of damaging wind gusts and perhaps even tornado or two. The best overlap between ongoing storms and the enhanced low-level flow is anticipated over northwest PA and far western NY. Some interaction with the warm front is also possible across western NY. Damaging wind gusts remain the primary severe threat, but these conditions lead to a relatively greater tornado potential in this area.

Incoming! Just had a huge crack of thunder shake the whole house! Looks like BUF is about to get a good raking!

Starting to see the cloud deck thinning out over central Ohio. I’m thinking that clearing keeps pushing our way and burning off with the midday sun. If we can start getting some sun by noonish should provide us a 2 hour window to destabilize things further.

Impressive convergence zones setting up again this evening with the lake breeze boundaries. Check out that cell blowing up in North Buffalo. Gust fronts shooting out almost in a 360 around it.

Quite the lightning show looking south tonight.

The lack of humidity the past few days has really made the heat somewhat bearable but this afternoon was a downright blast furnace! Was a bit odd seeing KBUF as the hot spot but maybe something to do with the lake breeze boundaries today? Look at the hourly temps in relation to the wind direction, albeit winds were rather light... SW wind and we got stuck in the low 90s, no wind we bump to mid 90s, NW wind takes us to upper 90s. Can’t get it to upload but if you watch the COD radar loop through the afternoon you can really see the Ontario lake boundary hang up just NE of KBUF when we rocketed up to 98. Maybe that boundary acted to dam up the heat bubble over us? Even Niz posted that the Ontario lake boundary today was one of the strongest he has ever seen.

96... 97... WE WANT 98!

6pm temp dropped all the way down to 92... Very subtle front dropping south firing up a nice storm cell just east of KBUF. Wouldn’t mind seeing a nice gully washer to cool things off now...

Nice gust front moving in. Sitting out on the patio with a fire waiting for its arrival.

Where did that come from? That will be round #4 coming through!

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BUF&product=LSR&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

Side streets off South Park are flooding...

Lots of water rescues going on around the city under viaducts. Not sure why people are even out driving with the curfew. We got smoked by that cell! That was the most intense storm I can remember in quite a while.