SouthBuffaloSteve

That juicy area over MI is gonna slide well south and west of us. We’re getting the scraps. Our chance to overachieve will be if that lake band can get together at all tonight.

Per key bank centers website…

Ohh… Duffs vs Poloncarz! Marky can’t be happy about this…

See if we can sneak out some surprise extra flakes tonight. All the local models are advertising a band developing between 7pm-12am and hovering somewhere near the metro. Mike C. actually made mention there could be a pocket of higher totals from this band.

Link?

Don’t even know what to believe anymore. Yesterday WHO says it’s no different than the previous strains, now today they are sounding more alarmed. Lot of cherry picking of quotes and adding of ones own ideas to some of these stories which adds to the panic. Honestly at this point looks like it is everywhere. Over a dozen counties have sequenced cases and Scotland has found cases in people who have not traveled showing local transmission has already been ongoing for at least some time now. Makes you wonder if it’s here in WNY already? Could explain the rapid spike in cases as well as our unusually high amount of vaxxed cases being reported.

…as winds back to W late this afternoon into this evening, expect lake effect to increase some into western NY likely centered on western S. Tier into S. Erie county. Maybe an inch or two of snow at most if a band develops and can persist. Most likely looking at less than an inch. Later tonight, as flow is more WSW-W and shortwave and weak low pressure with warm front and isentropic lift approach from western Great Lakes lake enhanced snow will try to develop across Grand Island, Buffalo Northtowns and into western/southern Niagara county. A couple inches of snow may occur here as well with best chances on Grand Island…

This is like out of a movie… for a strain that’s suppose to not be any worse than the current strains the world governments sure are freaking out over it…

Either Cassadaga or Arkwright should jackpot this storm over a foot. This area has been ground zero all afternoon. Trying to see if this guy posts at all, he’s been up on that hill all day.

0915 PM SNOW 2 ENE FINDLEY LAKE 42.13N 79.69W 11/28/2021 M9.0 INCH CHAUTAUQUA NY PUBLIC 0915 PM SNOW EAST OTTO 42.39N 78.76W 11/28/2021 M4.0 INCH CATTARAUGUS NY PUBLIC 0900 PM SNOW 5 E GREAT VALLEY 42.21N 78.53W 11/28/2021 M4.0 INCH CATTARAUGUS NY PUBLIC 0800 PM SNOW PERRYSBURG 42.46N 79.00W 11/28/2021 M3.5 INCH CATTARAUGUS NY CO-OP OBSERVER

But all it takes is one person taking one picture of a retail employee with their mask below their nose to initiate a health department compliance visit. They don’t care if it was a momentary lapse of thinking. If it’s wrong when they walk in it’s wrong and said business can be cited and or fined. If we need to be perfect when people are watching then these guys need to be perfect too.

Little elevation is making all the difference. Head up 60 into Cassadaga and it’s rippin.

Had a pretty nice leading edge visible as it rolled in.

Still snowing here near the metro. More of a grainy snow and isn’t really accumulating but still all snow up here.

Looks incredible on radar. Should have went south… just landed at the outer harbor for a bit.

nice… I’m up for some chasing this afternoon!

At least it looks wintry today. Inch or so down with nice sprinkle of flurries flying.

3k 18z run hints at this narrow band tonight and has it hug the north shore of Lake Erie into BUF metro showing 3-4”. Raised the eyebrows enough to get a blurb in the 3pm AFD. Early season clipper with a warmer lake could get us a little overachiever. Well one can hope, at least we got something to watch tonight.

I think this could verify, it runs all the way until Tuesday 7am. I really like these clippers next few days. Won’t be anything crazy but chance of a couple inches each of the next three night with maybe some little surprises. Tonight we need to watch central Erie county for a lake band to setup out ahead and then embedded within the overall synoptic precip. Could provide a few hours of heavier rates IF it in fact does develop. Sunday PM still a bit unclear how much lake enchanted precip comes with system #2 but looks to target more south along the Ridge anyways so doesn’t really matter to me. Monday PM may also be interesting as winds back to SW ahead of a third wave and could bring a band dancing around up near the metro albeit short lived.

These tests were just for covid itself. Samples are being lab sequenced now to identify which variant the travelers contracted (takes 24-48 hours?). Already seeing this morning several countries have now confirmed cases of the variant. England, Germany, Belgium, Israel, Hong Kong… One of the cases confirmed traced the likely exposure back to a person flying through SA back on Nov 11. If it’s been circulating for 2 weeks before we took notice it’s too late to react now. This has such a March 2020 vibe right now with how fast it’s hitting the fan. Wonder when and where the first US case will be confirmed…

A virus so scary we need to be politically correct naming the variants… and we sit here wondering why nature is trying to clean us off this planet.

Interesting approach. Dutch isolate two flights from South Africa that were already inbound when the travel restriction was made. Tested all 600 travelers and over 10% tested positive. More interesting is that everyone is suppose to provide proof of a negative test taken with 24 hours of their flight. Either this process was not done, involved bad testing, or this variant is that efficient in literally spreading like wildfire.

Have to see if anything comes of this “Nu” variant. Apparently it is believed this strain could have resistance to the vaccine antibody response.