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MUWX

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Everything posted by MUWX

  1. MUWX
    So likely wont see that data in the models until the 0z runs tomorrow night?
  2. MUWX
    I still think we need to wait at least another 24-36 hours before we start talking about locking a solution in. When will this be fully sampled?
  3. MUWX
    Gfs takes another step
  4. MUWX
    18Z GFS needs to shift 100 miles south.
  5. MUWX
    Im still not sold on the euro because of the ensembles. The 0z ensembles were somewhat more encouraging than the 12z, so hopefully this afternoons is even better.
  6. MUWX
    Seems like a stretch. I think the 0z looks better than they 12z does. The 12z gets its act together to far east.
  7. MUWX
    Meh. He’s running with the euro op, which has very little support.
  8. MUWX
    Pretty similar to the 18z. All north. Has been the trend for the last 5 years. Going with persistence forecasting with this one. Expect the same result, until something proves otherwise.
  9. MUWX
    GFS is way north also. Might see some mix around here, but that is most likely about it. Several days out and plenty of time to change, but with 5 straight years of misses on our side, I don't see any reason to believe this one will be different.
  10. MUWX
    Disappointing to say the least, but not surprising.
  11. MUWX
    Anyone had a chance to look at the Euro ensembles? NWS mentions that the GFS ensembles were unimpressive.
  12. MUWX
    The GFS is certainly interesting.
  13. MUWX
    Jeremy warriner says the system at the end of the week is looking more interesting for some snow, did the euro do something? Haven’t had a look yet, but I know the GFS And the Canadian weren’t anything special.
  14. MUWX
    Getting some very light snow in republic currently.
  15. MUWX
    It’s always about timing, but there has to be more to it than the timing is just off. I can buy that for a year or two... but not 6.
  16. MUWX
    When you say that we have had favorable storm tracks, but we have been barely too warm, that could be climate change. A degree changes every thing. At some point, this becomes more than a drought.
  17. MUWX
    Not trying to derail the thread, but Doug has said multiple times now that he thinks climate change is to blame. In one post he said it’s possible we only get one 6” snow a decade now, due to climate change.
  18. MUWX
    Starting to look like we may see a few severe storms tomorrow. Welcome to winter in the Ozarks.
  19. MUWX
    Getting a decent hit here now. All the roads are covered. Decent rate of snow, probably won’t amount to a half inch, but it’s better than nothing.
  20. MUWX
    SGF seems to be really concerned about the potential impacts from freezing drizzle.
  21. MUWX
    That’s what we are all saying right about now
  22. MUWX
    Not sure I’d call it an ice storm but the nam and the HRRR are fairly aggressive with things tomorrow. Nam much more so than the hrrr but still decent hits
  23. MUWX
    Temps seem to be under performing so far
  24. MUWX
    Canadian goes..... poof.... with the entire system
  25. MUWX
    Noticed that for springfield as well. We shall see. I still think the models have at least one more adjustment in them once this thing gets sampled. I think that is supposed to happen tomorrow or saturday morning.
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