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MUWX

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Everything posted by MUWX

  1. SGF suddenly becoming pretty bullish on an ice/snow event, per twitter. Should be an interesting afternoon AFD,
  2. Accretion is going to be an issue (In this case probably a good one.) Based on what I saw, it looked like heavy rain and 30-32, which I am assuming this model accumulates all of, which in the real world is not going to happen. Most of that will likely drip off of the trees and powerlines, before it freezes.
  3. You almost have to put that post out in SWMO, it certainly looks possible that something could happen. Of course, the general public will almost certainly miss the word 'potential' in that tweet and freak out if nothing happens.
  4. Euro painting an ugly picture across SWMO Thursday night. I know models normally under do arctic air, and if that’s the case, it’s even uglier. Interesting 48-72 hours upcoming.
  5. Noticed that. I am down in OKC this week on a business trip, headed back home on Friday, so this I have a feeling we will get hammered just to make my life miserable!
  6. Snowing golf balls in republic. Some of the biggest flakes I have ever seen. still probably half sleet though. It would be snowing at a crazy rate if it was all snow.
  7. I’m more optimistic now than I was last night. Not gonna be major but should see some flakes flying tomorrow.
  8. Up here in republic, I’m expecting 2-4” of rain. Dusting - 2” of snow
  9. I don’t think models get the fully sampled data until tonight.
  10. Its still pretty displaced from the WSW. If the GFS verifies, those watches need to be shifted east.
  11. The 18z HRRR (long range run) is starting to get into the beginning hours of the event. Cold air is similar to the NAM, which is interesting.
  12. My bad. Didn't realize what was posted wasn't complete. That's not a bad run. 2-3 for me.
  13. Yep. Basically down to trusting the GFS or trusting everything else. I think we all know the answer when those are the two options
  14. Lets lock that in. The differences in the cold air continue between the NAM and the GFS
  15. There are some pretty significant differences in how the 12z nam and 6z GFS are handling the cold air as well. At 06z Saturday the difference between the two is nearly 15 degrees for Springfield.
  16. Only going to be cold for like 24 hours. Then back to the 50s and 60s
  17. Really starting to feel like this one is going to end up just like every other storm has for the last half decade.
  18. Take a further step back and look at what your really assessing, a modeled snow storm in the four states area!
  19. Seeing the heavy snow in OK/AR headed North east at hour 72, go poof by hour 78 is very depressing for the SWMO folks. haha
  20. The only model that doesnt agree with the northern solution is the Euro. Im happy that the euro is on our side, but its very concerning that its the only one. Hoping for some light snow at this point, definitely not convinced we even get that at this point.
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