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MUWX

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Everything posted by MUWX

  1. GFS is way north also. Might see some mix around here, but that is most likely about it. Several days out and plenty of time to change, but with 5 straight years of misses on our side, I don't see any reason to believe this one will be different.
  2. Disappointing to say the least, but not surprising.
  3. Anyone had a chance to look at the Euro ensembles? NWS mentions that the GFS ensembles were unimpressive.
  4. Jeremy warriner says the system at the end of the week is looking more interesting for some snow, did the euro do something? Haven’t had a look yet, but I know the GFS And the Canadian weren’t anything special.
  5. Getting some very light snow in republic currently.
  6. It’s always about timing, but there has to be more to it than the timing is just off. I can buy that for a year or two... but not 6.
  7. When you say that we have had favorable storm tracks, but we have been barely too warm, that could be climate change. A degree changes every thing. At some point, this becomes more than a drought.
  8. Not trying to derail the thread, but Doug has said multiple times now that he thinks climate change is to blame. In one post he said it’s possible we only get one 6” snow a decade now, due to climate change.
  9. Starting to look like we may see a few severe storms tomorrow. Welcome to winter in the Ozarks.
  10. Getting into somewhat of a radar hole. Looks like it could go on for a while though...
  11. Getting a decent hit here now. All the roads are covered. Decent rate of snow, probably won’t amount to a half inch, but it’s better than nothing.
  12. Sounds like we are going to be lucky if that is the only one.
  13. SGF seems to be really concerned about the potential impacts from freezing drizzle.
  14. Not sure I’d call it an ice storm but the nam and the HRRR are fairly aggressive with things tomorrow. Nam much more so than the hrrr but still decent hits
  15. Noticed that for springfield as well. We shall see. I still think the models have at least one more adjustment in them once this thing gets sampled. I think that is supposed to happen tomorrow or saturday morning.
  16. North trend seems pretty evident at this point. I would guess there is going to be a sharp cut off on the south side, so the north trend is concerning. Still plenty of time to watch. I still favor somewhere between I44 and I70 as the sweet spot
  17. Yep. About how we all expected it to go. Not writing it off based off one run, but we’re going on 5 years without a notable snow event so we all know how this ends.
  18. GFS certainly isn’t backing down. I read that the 18z euro went north. Anyone with access confirm?
  19. Some good discussion over in the lake region forum about the differences between the two. They all seem to favor the euro
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