GFS is way north also. Might see some mix around here, but that is most likely about it. Several days out and plenty of time to change, but with 5 straight years of misses on our side, I don't see any reason to believe this one will be different.
Jeremy warriner says the system at the end of the week is looking more interesting for some snow, did the euro do something? Haven’t had a look yet, but I know the GFS And the Canadian weren’t anything special.
When you say that we have had favorable storm tracks, but we have been barely too warm, that could be climate change. A degree changes every thing. At some point, this becomes more than a drought.
Not trying to derail the thread, but Doug has said multiple times now that he thinks climate change is to blame. In one post he said it’s possible we only get one 6” snow a decade now, due to climate change.
Not sure I’d call it an ice storm but the nam and the HRRR are fairly aggressive with things tomorrow. Nam much more so than the hrrr but still decent hits
Noticed that for springfield as well. We shall see. I still think the models have at least one more adjustment in them once this thing gets sampled. I think that is supposed to happen tomorrow or saturday morning.
North trend seems pretty evident at this point. I would guess there is going to be a sharp cut off on the south side, so the north trend is concerning. Still plenty of time to watch. I still favor somewhere between I44 and I70 as the sweet spot
Yep. About how we all expected it to go. Not writing it off based off one run, but we’re going on 5 years without a notable snow event so we all know how this ends.