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MUWX

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Everything posted by MUWX

  1. A couple nights ago Ron Hearst at KY3 came out with his winter forecast. Really went all out with his forecast, calling for somewhere between 7" to several feet of snow this winter. These winter forecasts are a joke.
  2. hahaha oh i know, we are still a month away from really getting into winter. I have been reading a lot about what you are saying, not a great sign.
  3. That cold snap and minor snow event has me restless. Where is the snow?
  4. Yeah, for sure. Its a long ways off, but I thought it was interesting that all three models were showing something in that general time frame. Something to watch at least. I'll try to look at the ensembles this evening to see if there is actually any support for it.
  5. 12Z Euro has a mid mo snow storm. Not sure if ensembles are out for that yet, but GFS was similar.
  6. I'm hearing that there are a lot of wrecks in the Springfield area. Still snowing at a moderate rate. I think the NWS definitely underestimated the impact of this one.
  7. Tiny flakes, but this band over Springfield has visibility down to about a quarter mile
  8. Light to moderate snow, freezing cold, stiff north wind.... Man... this is making me really want a big storm
  9. Wintry mix has begun on the north side of springfield. Snow mixing in with the drizzle
  10. Euro has the system, but it is pretty light. I wouldnt trust the 2-4 the GFS is showing, because at least some of that is probably sleet.
  11. Ah. Makes sense. I know the SW portion of the SGF warning area, is very similar to Tulsa in terms of WSW drought. I don't even remember the last time I was under a Winter Storm Watch.
  12. I sure dont remember SGF issuing a warning last year
  13. Wednesday night is looking pretty interesting for this early in the season
  14. Gfs has this as well in the 18z. Not sure if it’s the same system or not
  15. So are you still sticking to the cat 3 idea?
  16. I wouldn't get too worried about it yet. AFD says to expect changes over the next 24 hours. One thing of interest, they are going with the NAM short term.
  17. SGF has dropped totals by 1-2 inches area wide, by their own admission they are going on the low side of guidance. Will be interesting to see how this plays out. Hopefully the AFD will shed some light on their thinking.
  18. Too early to temp watch? SGF had a forecast high of 45 this morning, now calling for a high of 38.
  19. Not saying he's wrong, but seems suspect. Although I can't disagree with continuance forecasting
  20. Just a brutal pattern this winter. Tons of moisture, an ok amount of cold air, time has just been way off. For all the talk leading into winter, this one has been one of the worst I remember.
  21. I probably just took your message out of context lol just a frustrating season all around.
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