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MUWX

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Everything posted by MUWX

  1. Surprised there isn't more talk about tonight. Looks to be a "decent" snow/ice event, considering how little talk there has been on here.
  2. Well certainly better than nothing. Not sure I see anything in the next week or so to get excited about though
  3. Just like every other model. Its been almost a year exactly since one of these trended in a positive direction as the event neared this area. When it comes to forecasting winter weather in this area, on technique works best, persistence forecasting, forecast the what has been happening until something different actually happens. For all the excitement there has been regarding the next week to 10 days, its now looking cool to cold with a few flurries mixed in, nothing has changed yet.
  4. I wouldn't jump ship based on the 18z nam, but I would also stop getting my hopes up 5+ days in advance of the storm.
  5. The NAM is significantly colder than the GFS. Not sure what to think of that, but the 18Z nam was 11 degrees colder than the 18z GFS, at 84 hours. I don't put much stock into the Nam, especially at 84 hours but that may be something to watch.
  6. It will be interesting to see how well models handle the cold air. Most globals don't handle artic air well, and tend to be slow with it. Plus it seems like there will be snow on the ground still north of us. Would a quicker arrival of the colder air, push the system further south?
  7. I just have a feeling southern mo is going to get slammed with cold rain again, because that's what we do.
  8. The temp hasn't been above 35 in well over 24 hours. And we are under a flood advisory. That's just crazy bad luck
  9. 33 and rain for the last 8 hours. Bring on severe weather season, I'm over winter.
  10. At some point, we just have to consider that this is the new normal
  11. At least you guys were never in it. SWMO is about to have another one ripped away after looking like we were in a good spot.
  12. SGF going with dusting-2 for the metro, nothing out west, and 2-4 east. Pretty decent differences compared to the pic above.
  13. SGF going with 1-3 isolated up to 5. I haven't seen a map of locations yet though
  14. Seems as though most on here arent excited, but I guess it will likely be east of many on here. Still, it is real quiet around here.
  15. Any thoughts on the late week storm? I haven't had a chance to look at the euro but the GFS/FV3/CMC all have something.
  16. Looks like this hits SWMO hard, that would not be ideal.
  17. Yeah... I see no reason to get excited about this one. Southwest up through central Oklahoma might get something but outside of that, I am not seeing anything. The trend of boring winters continues.
  18. And if you decide to look at it days in advance, never trust the nam.
  19. You know its bad when we're relying on the 36 hour HRRR, for hope.
  20. The last 4-5 years should have been enough to develop trust issues!
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