eyewall
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Everything posted by eyewall
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My second call:
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Too far north IMO.
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I will generate a second call map today.
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The storm has busted so far in the Southern Plains.
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RAH is highlighting everything that can go wrong from the warm nose to convective robbing.
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Here is my rough call:
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Nope, snow only with vis below 1/4 mile for at least 3 hours in frequent wind gusts of 35 mph or higher.
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Yeah I would say we very well might and most certainly a sleet fest for a bit. Sleet is around 4:1 ratio for accums.
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For triangle folks I am going with a T-1" for Raleigh and 2-5" for Durham.
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CAD has a tough time making it into Asheville often.
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Here is their expected or most likely map:
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That is going to be fun to have to walk down.
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It is a lot like an NC election. At first it looks legit and then uh oh!
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And here we go. That is not a good look at all.
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Where on the GSP site is that coming from?
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Something definitely went wrong with the 18z GFS at 108 hours and beyond. It is not loading on weatherbell.
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He is going with a Miller A
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DGZ saturates there but yeah fighting the warm nose at that point.
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That looks dry in the dendritic growth zone.
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I just fear it will be more of a sleet fest than indicated out this way.
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This storm will likely put the Triangle crowd in the sanitarium. It isn't looking great out here.
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It is a near certainty that it is over for RDU. I just hope I can find some time to sneak over to the Triad. This is a west of I-85 storm.
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Yeah this is one we will have to chase if we want to see snow. It is always tough because there is basically one good chance in this region at best per winter except on rare occasions. I would sneak over to GSO at least.
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There are so many Wake people because it is a large population center for the region and of course the met program at NCSU.
