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Everything posted by sbnwx85
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11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
What a way to start the season! -
Same. Goodbye snow, hello sun.
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11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Padded another inch on the day at home. Saw closer to 3” at work. -
11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
A new snowfall record was set in South Bend Sunday. 8.2" of snow fell. The old record for this date was 8", in 1913. The jackpot in the IWX CWA appears to be Walkerton with 14". Round 2 is starting now . -
11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
We currently have 9.5” on the ground. 9” came from the lake effect yesterday. Could get another 6” this afternoon into tonight. -
11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
whiteout on the lakeshore. You can also drag the cursor back to see what the shot normally looks like. -
11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Laporte getting wrecked thanks to the stalled mesolow. Current conditions at La Porte Municipal Airport (KPPO) Lat: 41.57°NLon: 86.73°WElev: 812ft. Heavy Snow Freezing Fog 30°F -1°C Humidity 100% Wind Speed W 16 G 35 mph Barometer 30.05 in Dewpoint 30°F (-1°C) Visibility 0.15 mi Wind Chill 19°F (-7°C) Last update 9 Nov 9:55 pm CST -
11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Was in the “eye” but it’s starting to fill in. Heavy rates continued just 10 miles to my west and southwest. I’m sure they’ve cleared a foot. Sitting at 8” IMBY. -
11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Vort max is coming ashore now. Band should shift towards Illinois. Strong meso low and a Lake Huron connection creating decent snows across Western Michigan. That should come south and keep the snow falling off and on until about midnight locally. -
11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
7.5” from today. 3.5” in the last hour. Storm total is 9” including yesterday’s system. -
11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
2” in the last half hour. My math isn’t great but I think that’s 4”/hour. Bonkers stuff. The rest of the winter is going to be boring after this. -
11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Snow rates have exploded since sunset. Went from one inch per hour to at least two… maybe three. -
11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Absolutely ripping under this band. I went to pick up pizza for me and gf. Left with moderate snow, 1/2 mile visibility and mostly clear roads. Coming home with heavy snow, 1/4 mile visibility and snow packed roads.- 209 replies
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11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Got an inch in about an hour. 5-10” seems like a good bet before the band completely shifts west overnight. -
11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I’m liking the trends on the HRRR locally. It keeps the main band overhead for several hours this late afternoon and evening before the mesolow swings through. Tomorrow afternoon and evening will have to be closely watched out here for round 2. -
11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Oh and quite a snippet from the LOT AFD By the time the lake effect ends on Monday, total snow amounts will vary considerably across short distances. Where the snow bands are most intense, total snow accumulations of 12 to 18 inches are expected with a ceiling of 2 to 4 feet if snow bands end up stationary. This threat appears to be most pronounced over Cook county, but may extend to Lake County Illinois and Lake County Indiana, as well. -
11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Potential for historic snows in the city! The mesolow looks to come ashore out here in Indiana (which keeps me in the game for a potential big dog) but it will be what dramatically shifts the main band into Chicago. Considering how deep the cold air is and how warm the lake is, expect at least 3” per hour rates. This is an extraordinary set up, so 6-8” per hour isn’t out of the question at times. I’ve only experienced 4” per hour snows once in my life and it was bonkers. It’s exciting but be ready to have your heart broken. This is Game 7 of the World Series, tied at 4-4 in extra innings. It could be glory or it could be nothing. The band and mesolow will ultimately do what they want but this is as good of a setup for Chicago as I’ve ever seen. I’m hoping the band shifts back east and holds together for a few more inches on Monday. -
11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
1.5” from the system. Hopefully it doesn’t all melt before the lake effect kicks in. -
11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
It took a couple of hours but we finally started seeing accumulation. DAB+ -
11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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11/8-11/10 First Snow and Lake Effect Event
sbnwx85 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
TV mets hanging onto the warm ground concerns which won’t be a factor at night with high rates. Lake snows have dropped 18” this time of year with less favorable synoptics.
