Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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Things definitely trending in the right direction for New England on the GFS and Euro. Heck, the 00z Euro and it's ENS appear ready to deliver a legit polar air mass late next week. Might crank up the lake effect machine.
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Yea I was surprised. The CC imagery suggested snow as far east as Sabilasville and Catoctin Mt, but only Garrett County appears to have picked up anything of consequence.
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I just checked the climate reports for both sites and did not see any snow recorded at either location.
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To my knowledge, that capability does not exist.
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The airport is getting developed and they started planting corn in the field nearby so the Td in the summer is getting weirder.
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What are those benchmarks? You can DM me if you don't want the peanut gallery giving you static.
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It's amazing how colder Westminster is compared to Reisterstown. Even colder is the Rt. 31 corridor to New Windsor and Union Bridge.
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Down to 28 in Reisterstown with a respectable frost.
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If the 850 low is over Hagerstown, I'd forecast a flip to rain. For DCA and IAD to max snowfall, we need the 850 low to run west to east along I-64. The December 2009 snowstorm is the best example of that: https://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2010/19-Dec-09-850MillibarMaps.html
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True, but as we've seen time and time again if we get a uncooperative Pacific, a la -PNA and/or -PDO, the NAO means squat.
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Let's see how we look in a month. Right now, I'm not so sure. This Nino isn't behaving like others and I'm worried we are going to be forever kicking the can this winter....again.
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-Warming climate -Persistent -PNA/+AO -East base El Nino -Persistent neutral to +NAO That plus we're staring down a dry November which historically does not bode well south of 40° North. I hope I'm wrong and I get bump trolled, but I don't see how BWI south get more than 50 to 75 percent of snow climo this year.
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I'm sorry about your dad. Mine passed in late September after a long illness. I hope your forecast is right, I'm extremely pessimistic about Mid Atlantic snowfall chances this year, moreso than usual.
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Yea there's nothing remarkable about that map to be honest.
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Ah there we go. There's our toaster in the bath tub look.
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Close to climo too I believe.
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I fully realize that things can and will change in the long term. That being said, I'm happy that we aren't seeing some extended awful Pacific puke zonal pattern with a southeast ridge.
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That's good. Even some split flow out west.
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Got an image? Or is it the one referenced above?
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^looks near normal with a bit of the polar vortex on our side of the globe?
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Isn't a weak phase 1, 2, or 8 good for cold?
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Could you imagine if this trended south and became a big wave along a front that gave us a cheap 5" of snow?
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That's some really nice high latitude blocking for late January and February. If we manage even a climo December temp and precip wise, I'll consider it a win.
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Down to 36.
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Central PA Autumn 2023
Eskimo Joe replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Philly can and has scored while Lancaster and Harrisburg are left dry. There is no better example of this than the Boxing Day 2010 event. Philly got over a foot of snow. Lancaster only got like 2".
