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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. The cell that originated in Montgomery County, ran up through the Baltimore metro producing gold ball sized hail, and then tried to spin a bit near Aberdeen, is throwing more hail out in the SW suburbs of Philadelphia. SPC mesoalanysis reveals there is a weak surface low nearby, so perhaps that's what is sustaining that cluster of storms?
  2. I swear the bay pushes a mesoscale boundary just north of the city towards the top side of the Baltimore Beltway. I'm hoping that as we put more mesonet stations in, we can begin to better identify these small scale features that make severe weather forecasting so tricky.
  3. There looks like a broad rotational signature near Aberdeen. Might be tapping some bay boundary.
  4. Impressive wind signature on that cell.
  5. The Euro mid range high QPF thing seems to be real and I wonder if it's a result of a recent tweak or software update.
  6. I can hear the thunder in Sykesville from that Montgomery County cell.
  7. 14 days of stratus for 0.25" rain
  8. Yes that was impressive. Cirrus shield extended down into Frederick and the SPC issued a meaoscale discussion for that cell alone.
  9. Please just stay dry through tomorrow evening. I have one spot on my deck left to stain. After that it can rain all we want.
  10. Yea that would be less than idea.
  11. These heavy rain events seem to shift north and east at the last minute. How long until we're looking at no rain and PA/NY get a deluge?
  12. GFS vastly prefers Pennsylvania for the 3"+ amounts.
  13. Ratios look good on the ICON at least.
  14. How did everyone fare today? Seems like the burgh got hit pretty hard.
  15. Euro mid range over amped bias kicking in again?
  16. Dry air and strong sunshine will do that 9 out of 10 times.
  17. That site loves to radiate.
  18. M0.3" RSTM2 COOP site since midnight. Finally!
  19. Dewpoints in the 40s are killing any severe chances.
  20. Called it, well the ENH upgrade at least.
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