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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    12z Euro gets a few sleet pellet up to Rt. 30 in York/Lancaster counties. Otherwise it's another solid run for everyone. Looks like a solid 8" - 12" event for many south of Rt. 22 (conservative thinking).
  2. Eskimo Joe
    18z Euro for Wed is . Double digit snowfall for everyone.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    12z OP Euro is nice. Nothing to worry about.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    12z OP GFS is money for Wed. Can't post images because I'm mobile, but it's good for you all. Solid warning event.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Naw. It's an early season event and I'm expecting mixing at my house. You're all looking pretty good in Central PA. We're in the Euro's wheelhouse now and it's still solid. If this holds through 00z Monday runs we are probably good.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Yea. As I was saying in the mid/long range thread in the MA forum, even at this time last year it was painfully clear that we were staring down the barrel of a shut out through mid January.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    I've been burned too many times outside of Jan/early Feb. I'm only expecting for an inch or two down here in NW Baltimore County and hope that we boom. It would be reallly nice to see something like 3" - 5" on the Christmas decorations.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Standard caveats apply here: we're HR100+, it's early season, etc. But y'all are looking good.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    WRT to the 12/16 system, it appears that all 18z Euro ensembles are all snow for the CTP CWA.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    12z op Euro cooks up another storm in the 12/18 timeframe, tries to get another around 12/24.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Per the 12z op Euro, everybody wins on the 12/16 storm. Take any snowmap and cut the amounts in half.
  12. Eskimo Joe
  13. Eskimo Joe
    12z GEFS mean has all of the CTP CWA below freezing for the 12/16 event. It's a clear step in the right direction.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    12z GEFS trending colder for everyone in C. PA. So far, the 12z suite is in the right direction.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    12z CMC is a flush hit for everyone.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    WRT the 12/16 event, the 12z OPs GFS would get everyone on the board. It's colder, and has the antecedent high over Canada in a better position.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    00z / 06z Euro OP/ENS loving the I-81 corridor next week. Even down into THV/LNS get some love. Get your snow shovels ready and put those Christmas lights out!
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Hey all, there's cause to rejoice. About 35 - 40% of the 12 EPS give THV/LNS/MDT 6"+ snow in the next 10 calendar days. About 50% give HZL and MPO 6"+ during the same time. There's been a marked shift to colder, wetter solutions. Hopefully they hold, because it appears we are entering a period of colder storms and some folks here stand the chance of a white Christmas.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    I'm cool with getting all our snow climo between December 20 and Jan 4th. We can torch after that if it's guaranteed White Christmas with even some snow on snow. This is the way.
  20. Eskimo Joe
  21. Eskimo Joe
    This is a good advance, IMO. Here's a link to the full release which shows that RAOB and commercial aircraft data will be added as well: https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf2/scn20-46rapv5_hrrr_v4aab.pdf
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Wish it wasn't behind a paywall.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    NAO, "hold my beer"
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Snow for Christmas would be amazing this year.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Saving this for later.
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