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StormchaserChuck!

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Everything posted by StormchaserChuck!

  1. StormchaserChuck!
    La Nina certainty looks like it's making a stand as per ENSO subsurface.. this is really easy: There will probably be some big potentials, subsurface is stronger in ENSO than surface conditions, re: hurricane season correlation. I would go more than 16 named storms.
  2. StormchaserChuck!
    Subsurface certainly looks like healthy La Nina.. it won't go there I think officially.. "Nuetral" global conditions are too prevalent (maybe we'll max out -0.5 to -0.7). https://www.pmel.noaa.gov/tao/drupal/assorted_plots/images/TAO_5Day_EQ_xz.gif
  3. StormchaserChuck!
    The high rainfall increases chances for -NAO Winter..
  4. StormchaserChuck!
    The drought is in the upper atmosphere. Wait until towering cumulonibus start happening again and watch how Drought is at the surface.
  5. StormchaserChuck!
    Things have trended pretty strongly away from +AO today. Warmer at the surface trend looks to continue, perhaps significantly. I think there will be a lot of +500mb heights in the Arctic circle for July. Also, Pacific-squeezed north Hadley Cell sustainable rarely works in verification.. more blocking over the Pole.
  6. StormchaserChuck!
    This is pretty cool, SOI and ENSO SST correlate more (not in reverse) when arctic ice is melting (2007-2012).
  7. StormchaserChuck!
    This is kind of ridiculous. At least models are picking up on stuff.
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