Great thread, PSU!
PD1(1979) looks like a supercharged Hybrid V1 as the Ohio Valley trough “dove in” and ignited the southern storm. I vaguely remember Accuweather having the best handle on this storm from 12-24 hours out as NWS busted big time. Below are 2 good write ups on that storm.
https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/mwre/109/7/1520-0493_1981_109_1542_tpdsof_2_0_co_2.xml?tab_body=pdf
https://ocean.weather.gov/2-PresidentsDayStormColloquium_Uccellini.pdf
It is a bit of an acquired taste, but once you get the hang of it, it is very funny. The writing and acting are excellent. It definitely is a series that you can re-watch to catch all of the humor and social commentary.
As October comes to a close, it’s interesting that the temperature profile across the US For October 2020 did not match the average profile for October La Ninas over the last 10-15 years. Throw into the mix that long range climate outlooks from the JAMSTEC and Cansips crapped the bed for the October temperature forecast (made in Sept) and maybe this upcoming winter won’t be as predictably bad as many are expecting.
I don’t know if this has already been mentioned, but the GFSv16 (future operational model) is now available on the Pivotal Weather site.
Looks like some significant changes were made to the model. Hopefully, someone more in the know can chime in.
https://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/emc/pages/numerical_forecast_systems/gfs/gfsv16/GFSv16 Project Plan Draft v1.0.pdf
Great memories, Wes. You certainly were all over that threat. It's funny, though, reading through that tread how the usual fears----suppression vs change-over were popping up 5-6 days prior to a prolific all snow event.
MDstorm