Itstrainingtime

Yes sir.

Oh, I get it. Not arguing that at all. Flip side of that - say CTP issued a watch or warning tonight and tomorrow night is a nuisance event. Another reason for people to not pay attention to watches/warnings anyway. (which a lot of people already do ignore) The people that get bent on watches and warnings are the people reading this right now. My family has no clue what the difference between a watch and a warning is, and they're all adults.

Everyone making comments tonight are very good points. Frankly, they're hard to argue. And as @MAG5035 suggested, at least throw out blanket watches early to get the word out. The only word of caution I'll add is that we have been down the ice skating path many times over the years, and many of those events failed to deliver anything close to what models suggested. I'm guessing that's why the hesitancy on CTP's part. Sure, we can question them all we want, but if there is any type of verification grade assessed to forecasts - (I honestly don't know) I know I'd be very hesitant to make a decision until I had to. Goodness knows that I've been scrutinized plenty of times at work for pulling the trigger on some decisions and not pulling the trigger on others. It's not easy when you're in the hot seat.

3pm: 69 4pm: 67 5pm: 50 6pm: 44

That's actually a pretty profound and accurate statement. Many times in the past during similar situations the verification often failed to meet the criteria.

2pm temperature roundup:

It's 69.4 on the station...

I certainly don't want to speak in his place, but he has previously mentioned that he thought that wintry weather was over for the Lanco area other than some nuisance events. That might not have been his exact wording, but close. I thought it was a bold way to go, personally.

It'll be interesting to follow the strength of the airmass coming in - we're getting to the time of the year when actual temps often outperform the models. (especially on sunny days)

Maybe the guy from MU will be right again after all? He essentially called winter off for us folks a couple of weeks ago. (he's also referring to tomorrow night's event as the "final" winter event): This month may very well be remembered for the dramatic temperature rollercoaster ride that began on February 1 and will continue through February 28. We'll end up seeing high temperatures reach or exceed the 60-degree mark on 5 different occasions (including tomorrow), but have also experienced two days with highs in the upper 20s. To illustrate how dramatic the ups-and-downs have been, the high on President's Day (February 21) reached 64 degrees following a bitterly cold low of 16 on Sunday morning (February 20). Right now, we're still immersed in one of the "crests" on the rollercoaster, but the "dip" that's right around the corner (Thursday/Thursday night) may set the stage for one last wintry mess.

If anyone needs a tan to enhance one's appearance...it's me. LOL

66.2 at home. Kind of hoping we'd make a run at 70 will likely end up a little short.

Yeah...I'll be sending out some form of communication today to at least discuss potential impacts for workers tomorrow night and early Friday.

Even I'll admit that's a "bullish" map. (in a negative way) No impacts up to near Lewistown? Wow.

Cloudy and 64. Walk across campus felt great in my polo. People seem happy with the warmth. Got to get the message out that colder weather is lurking...

Great, great writeup my friend. Elliott at MU agrees with you, and so do I. I've said very little about this "event" as I feel that ice projections are usually vastly overdone, especially for us southern tier folks. My thoughts are based off of past history and the conditions leading into this particular storm.

Half of that would create havoc.

61 here, and 60 was the lowest so far since midnight. What time of year are these temps normal? Has to be close to Memorial Day weekend? (as far as overnight lows I'm talking about) I'm enjoying this - NOT looking forward to tomorrow night.

Winds are really gusty right now and the temp is rising - 59 here now. So far, .19" of rain has fallen.

This is the first time for us - many trips to various parts of the Caribbean, Bahamas, etc., but we're really excited to spend a few days docked by the pink sands in 'Muda.

Heading on my 14th cruise in August. (Bermuda) As someone who travels a lot, cruising is at the top of my list. Can't wait!

You know...I'm really glad to hear you say this - I've felt for the past couple of weeks that we were about done. (LSV specifically) And, for all the reasons that you just mentioned. To me, this whole winter required almost everything to sync up perfectly for us to score a flush hit. And to play those odds would seem to be a harbinger for disappointment. I was reluctant to share how I felt as I didn't want to be "that guy" who got cursed by others...but it's just felt like it's about over for a good while. Hey, we can get really lucky and end up with something special. Odds certainly don't favor it, but odds didn't favor the US hockey team beating Russia in the 1980 Olympics. That's why the chase lives on, but short of something unforeseen happening, the most likely outcome down this way for the rest of the winter is some scraps. And heading into March - I'll pass on the scraps.

Thanks for the ego boost. I really was trying to be funny but it was the only plausible solution to me.

Hmm - I don't know. I do know that 65 in my house does not feel the same year round. 65 in the summer feels more comfortable to my wife then 65 does in January.