New forecasts now confirm a Stratospheric Warming event in early-mid February, causing a Polar Vortex split and collapse. The latest predictions show a breakdown of the polar circulation, with a prolonged colder weather pattern across North America and parts of Europe, potentially lasting into early spring.
https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/polar-vortex-collapse-february-2026-stratospheric-warming-forecast-winter-united-states-canada-europe-fa/