Eric Webb:
I’m still not buying the idea of a “torch” in early Feb over much of the Eastern US.
Although we are getting a jet extension here, the southward shift of the Pacific Jet favors undercutting of the Canadian Ridge, keeping temps more seasonable east and south of the Great Lakes….
I still can’t quite figure out where the “true" beginning of spring lies in the longer-term over the Eastern US
Even out to near the middle of March, we still might be stuck in this -NAO/east-southeastern US trough-type look.
Imho, once we get past next week's Pacific Jet extension, we're in it for the long haul.”