WinstonSalemArlington

CFS January Monthly

A lot frost this morning in eastern North Carolina

Good point. Even Wilmington was colder than Greensboro.

From DT: Folks this is an incredibly bad forecast in every possible way. The premise is that La Nina is going to continue throughout the winter even though ALL of the data clearly shows La Nina ending by December (this includes the climate models which are run by the NOAA/ NWS/ CPC) So the premise of this winter forecast -- that la Nina is going to last through the winter is just absurd. Consider their forecast from last winter VS the actual temperature anomalies for December January February 2024-25. That NOAA NWS forecast was heavily based on the weak La Nina lasting through the entire winter -- which it did. For this coming winter as I mentioned above... the data is overwhelming that the La Nina will be over by January 1-- possibly by the middle of December. Yet the NOAA/ NWS winter forecast 2025-26 is almost identical to the busted one from last year.

It seems like this cold had more punch in Northeast North Carolina than the rest of the state, except for the northwest mountains. Charlotte only got down to 48 this morning, Greensboro down to just 44, yet RDU got down to 40, and Rocky Mount-Wilson to 39.

Because summer is really over

From World Climate Service (@WorldClimateSvc on X): 4 of the past 5 winters have seen La Niña, and 4 very different outcomes have occurred: - 2020-21: cold south - 2021-22: cold north - 2022-23: cold west - 2024-25: cold east

For most places from RDU to BOS, Sunday was the coolest daytime since June 1.

A true autumnal day in the Triad today, with the high only reaching 64 amidst overcast skies and a strong northeasterly breeze.

Chilly Halloween

I’m sick of summer overtime. Bring on the Cold Front!

Longrange changes afoot, or a mirage?

Normalcy

Relative to the 75 degree average high

Next week begins seasonal, ends chilly

CPC is hinting at a potential series of CAD events on their 3-4 week outlook

Frost on the pumpkin?

Chilly morning