HillsdaleMIWeather

Models keep trending colder for Saturday night, gonna freeze everything over that melts

2 minutes ago, sbnwx85 said:

Even though warning criteria may not be met the combination of advisory-level snow and advisory-level ice may warrant a Winter Storm Watch in many locations with decisions on how to upgrade made later. 

I'm guessing IWX, GRR and DTX will def host one. LOT is more questionable 

0Z GFS is probs as good as we're gonna get, widespread 6+ inches 

If current forecasts pan out, the roads around here are gonna get wrecked. The little bit of rain won't even help for long as they're expecting a flash freeze

When I see people punting on storms this early:

This def isn't the time to punt on this storm yet, considering the massive ensemble differences

17 minutes ago, StormChaser4Life said:

It's GFS. Enough said. Probably going to see a lot of fluctuations the next several days

This, we're in model flip flopping range rn

Hi random WWA!

I think we all can agree that this was one of the most underwhelming storms of all time 

The rain underperformed 

The ice underperformed (not complaining about this part)

The winds underperformed 

Hell even the severe threat down south under performed to an extent 

0Z GEM stays mostly all snow, with only a brief flip to rain then back

11 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Ice baby

Literally the opposite of this event today, ice then rain instead of rain then ice

0Z GFS is a rainer lol

IWX now thinking even their wind advisory is gonna bust

Transition to freezing rain starting here

18Z GFS would dump 5 to 6 inches of snow, a couple hours of freezing rain, then rain, followed by more snow 

IWX issued a WWA for the ice here

06Z NAM gets the ice even further south

The NAM gets the ice worryingly south again, into Indiana. Worried we might get caught with our pants down here

0Z GFS has an opposite to our current storm event: Starts as snow, changes to ice, ends as rain

1 hour ago, Hoosier said:

NMM not siding with the ARWs.

FWIW it still is a good chunk south of its 12Z run

Honestly worried that if this minor south trend continues places around here could get caught in ice unexpectedly 

Ice zone creeping back south on the NAM, hopefully not a last second trend

When I made this threads subtitle I didn't think this much rain