HillsdaleMIWeather

Next week is looking like MCSville

4 hours ago, Hoosier said:

Would be nice if tomorrow's front could bring some interesting weather and not just a bunch of 40-50 mph gusts.  Can't rule out severe with such a moist/unstable airmass though shear is on the lighter side.

Wouldn't be super surprised to see the marginal risk get extended into our area tomorrow 

Some reports of damage down by Reading

Warning for here, gonna be fun.

12 hours ago, hlcater said:

NAM/GFS 12z runs look nice along the warm front on Saturday, but the position and to a degree, the orientation of this boundary is still up in the air.

Newer runs are trying to push it back til Monday

Models are slowly pushing the instability further and further north Monday 

54 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

Don't have much time to type much, but just took a quick look at the 06z NAM, and it looks pretty nasty for parts of southern and southeast Iowa, and down into northern MO for Thu.  Backed surface flow, plenty of juice, and nice jet support.  Forecast soundings look pretty nice.  Conditional setup of course.  If we can keep surface flow backed like in subsequent runs this could get interesting.

Only problem is their might not be that much instability due to cloud cover and rain

12Z is looking better instability wise for Thursday compared to prior runs

Wednesday is still looking possibly good

Looking like Wednesday and Thursday might give some us some severe

Cell on the TN/Al border is getting its act together quickly