HillsdaleMIWeather

Sitting around 5 in right now, we switched over easily 

Took a while to start sticking by now its piling up

Pouring moderate to heavy snow here rn

All light snow here

06Z NAM coming in a touch northwest 

35 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

00z UK..... wow.

Yeahhh... I think the truth of this storm will be somewhere closer to the GEM than this,, that's like comedcially underamped like the GFS, and the WPC agrees

Preference: 00Z NAM, 12Z ECMWF, 12Z UKMET through 12Z/27
            non 12Z CMC blend from 12Z/27 to 12Z/28

The CMC caves southeast

18Z NAM is depressing even for the all snow areas 

IWX saying WSW will probably be needed but no watch 

Edit: lol they just issued one 

The WPC says to take all the non GFS models including yesterday's 12Z run of the Euro and blend them together

No significant changes were noted with the closed low as it
weakens east into the Ohio River Valley through Tuesday morning.
Regarding the upstream, large scale trough, the 00Z UKMET trended
a little slower, while the 00Z CMC trended a little faster
compared to their 12Z cycles. The 00Z ECMWF also trended slower
and slightly weaker with the trough progression beginning Tuesday
afternoon.

From Tuesday through Thursday morning, the 00Z deterministic
guidance shows reasonable agreement outside of the faster 00Z GFS,
though minor non-GFS differences remain. Given some of the changes
from cycle to cycle, the final preference will not be to jump
completely on board with the non 00Z GFS suite of models (despite
their relative agreement), but to nudge in that direction from the
12Z ECMWF position. Therefore, the final preference is to take the
12Z ECMWF and blend it with a 00Z ECMWF/UKMET/CMC/NAM blend.

That meltdown over the 0Z NAM slowing down making everyone think the storm disappeared proves how terrible this winter has been

0Z GEM actually  a touch north and weaker 

10 hours ago, Baum said:

anybody going to start a thread for the  February 27-28 blockbuster?

Rainer

54 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

The ICON is about as worthless as tits on a rattlesnake, or a screen door on a submarine.

I know... but someone here has to kill the last shred of hope

The ICON has caved. Rainer on all.

18Z GFS is an Alek special 

First light flakes here falling 

Sucks how this is all gonna get eaten by the rain 

Couple hours ahead of schedule at least

Good news for this event: Pivotal added the UKMET

tfw gonna be dryslotted

Up to 4 inches here

Another dry slot near Indy

Little dry slot over fort Wayne 

IWX went for a cwa wide WWA calling for 2 to 4