lakeeffectkid383

4 prime time games are tied for most in Franchise history. Beats the 0 we had last year besides thanksgiving and then being flexed into SNF against the Steelers.

This must be way old. We’re over 75,000 deaths. We were at 33,513 deaths like a month ago lol. Not saying it’s not accurate but definitely outdated.

I know I agree but the NYS official death count not including probables is 20597 and the NYC probable count is 5359 for a total of 25,956 which is the number being reported by World O Meters. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ Mark Poloncarz and ECDOH also have stated numerous times they are not counting presumed deaths in their count right now only confirmed which is what I believe the rest of NYS is also doing outside of NYC.

They are reported separately and NYC is the only Place in NYS using probable deaths. The 323 deaths in Erie County are all confirmed.

Lake effect snow in May? That’s a first for me.

GFS has .8” QPF with temps near or below freezing at BUF on May 9th! Insane. Could see accumulating snow even at lower elevations. I’m not expecting much here but even if we got a solid coating that would be crazy given the time. I could see the higher elevations seeing several inches. Regardless the cold got this time of year is certainly going to be memorable.

Which is it ? Lol

The last few days I’ve seen a huge lax by people for sure. Way more cars on the road, people out and about, even went to get Chick Fil A for the first fast food I’ve eaten in over a month and the line was about 1/2 mile long. Driving by some stores you could barely see an open parking spot which is weird because I thought stores that were open had to have a capacity reduction where only like 15-20% of capacity could be let in at one time. They can extend the pause order all they’d like but if people don’t want to stay home they’re not going to, especially when things aren’t being enforced.

Has to be close to the lowest thickness ever recorded for that late in May if it comes to fruition. 516 in mid May is nuts and with some clearing skies could easily see temps drop into the teens with that kind of cold.

Anyone know why the last 3 days NY has stopped doing it’s evening count of probable deaths?

Still the cheapest gas prices since the 90s! $1.15 a gallon is nothing to be upset about ! I did fill up at Doogies last week for $0.79 a gallon! Cheapest gas of my lifetime for sure. Filled up my entire tank for under 10 bucks.

Is this a joke? 850s into negative double digits in mid May.

Got one and said the same thing “oh great, what do I owe them now” . Had my taxes filed with HR Block in 2014 and didn’t get the additional “piece of mind garuntee” which was like $100 extra (on top of the $275 I was already paying to have my taxes filed) and they made a mistake on my taxes and I landed up owing the IRS over $3000. Thought this was another one of those mistakes (although I now do my own taxes, cheaper and so easy now that I don’t have income from multiple states).

I would for free but there’s no reason to pay $119 for a home kit when even if you have had it and have been exposed it’s meaningless at this point. I guess for a piece of mind to know you’ve had it and recovered? However there needs to be more research into what having antibodies to this virus really means. As far as this being serious, I know numerous people who work in the healthcare industry (one a nurse at the St Joes Covid-19 campus in Cheektowaga and one a nurse at Mercy Hospital is SB) and both have said it’s horrific and they think it can’t be understated how serious this virus is even for those who are young and relatively healthy. This many people don’t die from the flu here even in the worst of flu seasons.

Rochester is defined as finger lakes according to Cuomo. And it’s a hot spot in the Finger Lakes region but Buffalo (Erie County) has 2.5x that in cases, 3400+ and we have over double the deaths (254 compared to 113). I could see it going either way for Finger Lakes region.

Correct, Trump and pence outlined this in their reopening plan last week or the week prior. Cuomo has been saying for the last week that in order for phase 1 to happen there needs to be a 14 day decline in hospitalizations for that region. Considering we just had 3-4 days of increasing hospitalizations in Erie county followed by a 1 person decline in hospitalizations yesterday were no where close.Erie County Executive Mark Poloncarz stated in his press conference yesterday we weren’t even on day one of this yet. This is the reason Cuomo wants to open up the state in regions because in some regions (CNY/North Country) there has been a decline of hospitalizations but not here.

It sounds like Cuomo will address this tomorrow, at least he said he’s going to make the decision on schools. I would bet my house on it that schools will be closed the rest of this school year. Just too many things to go wrong over 4 weeks of in school learning left. How would kids social distance on buses, in hallways, etc... as far as businesses reopening May 15th I could see him letting certain regions of Upstate begin phase 1 of the federal reopening plan if numbers continue to stay low/or decline even further. I wouldn’t expect NYC/Long Island/ and WNY to begin phase 1 May 15th as there’s still too many cases and in WNY there hasn’t been any decline in cases/hospitalizations what so ever and Cuomo has even said we are the “hot spot” of Upstate. If I had to venture a guess the North Country and CNY would have the best chance at beginning phase 1 May 15th.

Best part is NY gives the fed 26B a year more than it receives from the fed. McConnells state of KY receives 30B a year more than it gives, yet they want to criticize NY and other blue states, especially when they are the hardest impacted by the virus? Right now should be a time of non partisan unity for the good of helping all Americans regardless of party lines. People on both sides are struggling immensely and all the blame game does is cause a stalemate on getting anything meaningful accomplished.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/21/world/coronavirus-missing-deaths.html For those who don’t believe under reporting of Covid deaths are real. Over 4,000 deaths in NYC alone being underreported. Some of these are likely due to other illnesses with people being afraid to go to hospitals/seek medical treatment in fear of Covid.

Do you know why some days New York reports deaths twice a day (usually morning and about 5-8pm) but today for instance we only get the morning numbers? Just curious. I know the evening numbers are the suspected deaths but any idea why they report them some days and not others?

Yep Erie county has hit new peak in hospitalizations and highest ICU count in last 2 weeks. We still haven’t fully peaked here yet I don’t think. Thus why Cuomo is not allowing elective surgeries in Erie County and we will likely be next to last as far as opening up compared to the other regions of NYS.

Agree but if you can ramp up the testing to the point that your testing the entire population then even asymptotic people would know if they have it and could isolate to prevent further spreading. Harvard University said testing in the US needs to increase to 20,000,000-30,000,000 test a day in the U.S which is 600,000,000 a month (yes double the population of entire U.S.). To me that seems undoable, as I just don’t know how we would ever be able to produce that many test even with the Defense Production Act. The Federal Government stated at their press conference that they would soon like to ramp up to 6 million test a month which is obviously well short of Harvard’s numbers but is way more than the current 6 million test to date over the last 2.5 - 3 months.

Germany’s R0 went from 0.7 10 days ago to 1.0 today since beginning to reopen. Once you get above 1.0 your back to a fast rate of infection. If you do not test like crazy, trace, isolate while reopening the RO is going to jump up and cases are going to skyrocket again like they did 3 weeks to a month ago. There has to be a strategic plan and more research with antibodies and what it means as far as being able to catch the virus again even if asymptomatic and spread it before we begin widespread opening. We can’t just say the economy is suffering so let’s just send everyone back to work to get things going again and hope for the best. That’s just dangerous and wreck-less.

That is key I think to reopening everything. There’s still not even evidence that if you have an antibody you are safe from contracting/spreading it again.

Okay but with more people contracting the virus with a lax of social distancing more people contract the virus and thus more people die. A .6-.8% death rate is insane for a virus that is as highly transmitable as this. This isn’t MERS it SARS that had a much higher death rate but was much less infectious.