tuanis

Maxed out at about a half inch accumulation around 8 AM. It’s been a pretty snowfall since, but melting quicker than it can accumulate.

Ride the seasonal trend. Ready to call it up here… the “double duster”. A dusting tonight that melts tomorrow, and fringe flurry fest for the mid-week system. Can’t wait

Maybe next year when we get rid of the Niña. The last couple years have been rough. Late Jan-mid Feb 2021 was the last solid wintry period we had in the north/northwest burbs. Things got deep.

You'd hope that just once he'll drop this Annie Lennox video instead. Probably not this year.

Update: grass blades out front are now 90% covered. Looking at Google Maps, roads just about everywhere are slow moving. I hope western LP Michigan gets absolutely walloped (but everyone takes precautions and makes it through just fine).

They’ve been nice lookin flakes for sure. Well-formed dendrites clumping together.

There are snowflakes. They are sticking a bit. Temp has started falling. Radar looks putrid. Seems inevitable that we end up with less than 2” of snow.

With a map like this you'd think we'd be in for the storm of the decade

I'm not seeing where those 7" totals will come from. Looks like a ~6 hour window of snowfall tomorrow afternoon into the early evening. Maybe we'll see inch an hour rates for a bit, but I doubt it stacks up to anything more than 4".

Thinking the only 5” totals we’ll see in the metro are from some schmo measuring a drift against his neighbors fence on the northwest side of the city.

Am I wrong in thinking that as most models now depict this event it's basically a 3-5 hour window of snow and wind as the arctic front blows in? I'm not seeing how we do much better than 2" or 3" at this point without a deformation band to pivot across the area.

That was a kickass storm over here. Several positive surprises and no marginal temps or mixing. It kicked off that legendary deep and cold February. Most events since then have been kind of klunkers north and northwest of the city. Let’s hope this one has some happy surprises too. Sometimes an arctic airmass nearby can help make that happen.

Then explodes > spins in SW Michigan > occludes. That's some sexy stuff.

:: trying my hardest not to get pumped up or show any emotion but secretly pumped the f up for a potential pre-Christmas blizz :: 12z trends were pretty pretty pretty good

Little bit of a front end mix, otherwise it’s been a drippy wet snow up here. Rates have been solid enough that it’s sticking to the road and driveway in a gloopy fashion.

Snowfall rate is either more impressive than radar would indicate or the first snowfall of the year has thrown me off. Closing in on an inch and sticking a bit to the driveway and road. I suppose this event locks in a green Christmas

HRRR pushes a decent slug through here in the wee hours. With that low riding up to the Quad Cities, gonna be hard to stay dry.

The warm and sunny weekend as we nailed the peak will be a fall moment I'll remember for years. 2020 had absolutely amazing color here, this year is a close second. Spent the whole weekend outside with the kids and watched the trees - oaks included - transform before my eyes as the weekend progressed. Leaping in leaf piles, bright colors raining down under a sunny sky. That's the good stuff.

A snowstorm in winter or something out of season? If it's the latter, early or late? A mid-winter classic Wet snow, dry/fluffy snow, or something in between? Starts 10-12:1 to set a solid base, becomes increasingly dry/fluffy/drifty as the storm cranks Light/calm winds, or windy conditions while it's snowing? Light winds during the WAA snows, nears blizzard conditions as the low wraps up over NW Indiana and the lake starts getting involved Continuous snow, or do lulls not matter as long as amounts end up as expected? Maybe a bit of a lull before the beefy defo pivots through, but I'll skip the drizzly dry slot with columns and needles amounting to nothing 12" in 12 hours, or 18" occurring over 36 hours? 12 in 12 Bitter temperatures, or just cold enough to stick well during the storm? Again, borderline at the start, but pull in that nearby arctic airmass as the low tanks Storms on holidays/your birthday/some other meaningful day, or are dates irrelevant? I'll take what I can get, but it's been a minute since we've had a white holiday season If living in a lake effect area, would you rather have a synoptic or lake effect storm of the same amount? Slow-moving firehose off the lake to cap off a satisfying lake-enhanced synoptic big dog

7” of rain, 4 rounds of hail, somehow we didn’t flood but it came so damn close. I’m exhausted from preparing the house for water all night, and now another noisy cell pops overhead.

Potent lake breeze has been eating away at any advancing precip for hours here, will be interesting to see when/if it gets overcome. Reminds me of dry easterlies delaying the onset of a snowstorm.

The wetter/active pattern signal is pretty clear. Where that heavier corridor ends up over the coming couple weeks is anyone's guess at this point. Won't take much to put it over YBY.

???

Don't most models have you getting some decent rain this weekend?

Right around 4” up here. Very picturesque snowfall, super easy to clear. Milwaukee up through Sheboygan saw 5”-7”. Good to see a nice wide swath of snow accumulations for once, even if it wasn’t a major storm.