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JerseyWx

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Everything posted by JerseyWx

  1. This is a really impressive arctic shot funneling in from Canada. Even as it moderates by the time it gets to us, highs below freezing and nights in the teens will be a huge turnaround from this time last year. Any snow we get will have some staying power.
  2. Hoping for a huge bust here considering how bad the river flooding situation was last week. Regardless, looks like a pretty grey and damp few days until the weekend.
  3. I'm curious how this winter will play out as compared to 15-16. At this point back then, I still hadn't recorded any snow (like this year), and would only get a half inch until the middle of January. Then came the big storm, and a cold snap in February with some smaller storms. Then came 17-18 with that crazy March and 20-21 with the February blitz. A lot of our better years were backloaded since 2015 and featured a mega storm (March 8, 2018 and Feb. 1, 2021 were both just under 2 feet IMBY).
  4. Exactly...x10 Making it barely tolerable in here. Such a shame how things have changed since I joined 9 years ago. So much to learn back then.
  5. I don't disagree, but I'm not sure that's the problem I'm seeing on this forum, to me it's two things. 1. People expect too much, too soon. I was just paging through my records and it's not uncommon to get very little snow in December, especially since 2015. Our prime is always January through the beginning of March. 2. The cold camp is way too focused on only seeing what they want to see. Any sort of model run, chart, graph, etc. that shows a hint of warmth is wrong or the poster is just a warm troll, even if they are a credible member. Yet you could show a 300 hour GFS run that has some sort of cold tucked in there, and boom it's gonna snow in 2 weeks.
  6. I guess they just prefer everyone lies so they can hear what they want to hear, just like when the September heatwave was being downplayed.
  7. Interesting how it's more noticeable warming in the fall and early winter, yet spring hasn't shown the same increase. Seems like it stays warmer longer, but takes awhile to break out of our chilly springs.
  8. But it's certainly more of a possibility as we've been warming recently, and I mean If you can get two great years in a row, the opposite is also true.
  9. Worst Fall in awhile. Even this week has been a lot more clouds than sun here.
  10. Yeah this is one of the worst fall's in awhile. Just terrible weekend after weekend, which is when most of us would like to actually enjoy the weather and seasonal activities.
  11. Man this front really cleared out the humidity and moisture. 48 currently with some wind still kicking up. Crystal clear skies. Had some very heavy bursts of downpours today, could barely see the road for a few minutes. Just under an inch total.
  12. How long is this piece of garbage system going to last, wasn't Ophelia enough? Still raining here. Terrible outcome in parts of NJ and the city, such a disastrous storm. We don't need rain for a long time.
  13. So it can't be above normal?
  14. Approaching 2.5" here. Really hoping the rain Friday clears out early so we get a nice weekend. Been a miserable three days and it's not like tomorrow is looking nice either.
  15. Just at an inch here for today, and 0.5 yesterday, so looking at around 1.5" so far. This weekend was one of the worst in quite awhile. Hoping that by mid-week we start a gradual warming trend into October.
  16. Relatively, yeah. But I have to say this summer did have some pretty intense storms here, one of which produced some of the heaviest rain I've seen, and for the longest duration. Naturally early fall is one of the more quiet times around here, as you don't really have much going on besides this kind of crap like we had this weekend.
  17. This has been an interesting year for turnarounds. Cold shot in December, then a warm and nearly snowless winter. Early heat in April, then a cool start to summer. Hot start to September, and now a near normal finish. The weather has been keeping us on our toes and guessing.
  18. Ended the day with a little over an inch. Looks like a really nice 4 day stretch setting up, sunny and dry with cool nights. Then rainier and more humid starting this weekend.
  19. Yeah looks like a pretty great stretch. My forecast is calling for a string of mid-70's by day, and mid-50's at night starting on Sunday.
  20. Lol, nah I lived in NJ all my life. Dealt with the Meadowlands and garbage smells before. But up here we generally have pretty good air quality. This is something different.
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