JerseyWx

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

It will be interesting to see how long the mid month more spring-like pattern can last. The week 3 EPS and GEFS try to bring back some blocking around the 20th. While there will still be a SE Ridge, it could mean occasional back doors and stalled frontal zones between the warmer days. We’ll get some hints when the new extended EPS comes out tomorrow.

Probably going to be the classic back and forth pattern.  Get a tease of 70+ for a week and then be met with backdoors and rain the next.

1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

Monday's cold is ridiculous for this time of year. Barely above freezing with gusty winds under sunny skies too.

I'm sure the strong late March sun will help some but it's still going to feel cold. Also wouldn't be surprised to see lows below 20F in many suburbs. 

Yeah my forecast high is only the upper 20's.  With the wind it will easily feel like January.  The thing that really makes it worse was having that little stretch of 70+ readings not too long ago.  

46 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

How close are we to warmest March?

Have to be close at this point, right?

This is endless warmth

We've had way warmer March's in the past, and next week doesn't look crazy at all.  It's not really out of the ordinary to get some days that reach the 70's, and plus we've had a couple snow events (albeit minor for some) this month too.  I see some 20's for lows coming back at the end of my forecast.

4 minutes ago, rgwp96 said:

Yup just a last kick in the balls . I was all excited I went to snow an hr  earlier than modeled  .  Radar looked tremendous . 2 hrs later I see it turned to garbage and I have 2 inches lol and done 

Measured 2.25" here.  This wind, cold, and blowing snow sure makes it feel like January or February.  At least we cracked 20" this year.

3" today brings me to 19" for the season.  Is 1 more inch possible to make it an even 20?

Overall I was surprised how cold this storm turned out.  Roads were bad once you got off 23, which led to some cars off to the side.  Cold night ahead.  

3 hours ago, rgwp96 said:

2.2 in Morris county . Should have been an advisory here imo . Roads were pretty bad around 1 pm when I was out 

3" on the dot now.

14 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Winter might be over 

I think that's pretty much it.  After this first week of March, how much time do we really have left to see a noteworthy event (at least 3-6")?  Higher terrain will definitely have more of a chance.

Despite only having about 3 inches more than the 19-20 winter IMBY, this one felt a lot better.  We definitely had more cold, and what snow we did have ended up sticking around because of it.

1 hour ago, George001 said:

I don’t get the whole mid March is too late, climo sucks ect. I got a massive 2 foot blizzard in mid March 2018, which was just a few years ago…. Yeah temps are often an issue, but with March storms you also often will have more moisture available so it’s kind of a double edged sword there. If the setup is good, some of the biggest storms happen in March.

Unless you're somewhere else, the metro got that big storm on March 7-8th, not mid-month.

I also don't think anyone is claiming it can't snow in mid-March.  We can get a 6+ inch storm in April for that matter. 

Point is, after the equinox in just over a month, the chances of accumulating snow are drastically reduced.  Between now and then is when we'd need to boost totals to average or better to make this a decent season.

Exactly 15 inches so far this season.  After the Thursday washout, we really only have about 4 weeks of good snow climo, as that brings us near the equinox.

Obviously it can snow afterwards, but even our better March's tend to shut off around then.

Exactly 2 inches here, not bad.  Brightening up a bit.

2 hours ago, ForestHillWx said:

 5 currently. This January has had more single digit low temps for my house than I can remember; lasting cold spell. Past winters I have dipped sub-zero, but quickly bounced back with the temps.

I was just thinking this last night.  Lot of single digit lows, and also a lot of highs sub 25, some of which failed to hit 20. 

6 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Got down to 9 here-another night of single digits....cold month.

Despite what little snow we've seen, it's been pretty cold.  More single digit nights than we've had the last couple winters here.

Not only that, but there hasn't been a thaw yet.  The snow cover is minimal but has stuck around pretty well.

10 minutes ago, rgwp96 said:

 4 inches butler nj still snowing with some sleet mixed in 

Measured 3.5" at 11:30 and it was still coming down.

Still all snow here, seems to be at least 2 inches.

If I remember correctly, we record the snow depth before the changeover occurs?

Measured 4" here.

1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said:

Everytime I go to walgreens there are different people working there 

Yeah I mean it's not surprising.  Everyone is burned out from trying to give vaccines on top of normal workload, which is already bad this time of year.

3 hours ago, Rjay said:

They need to add an appropriate reaction I can use for this post.  It's not funny.  It's not sad.  It's infuriating.  

Honestly, no one knows the half of it.  This whole thing has made me rethink getting into retail pharmacy. 

People have no clue how much actually goes into typing up prescriptions, verifying them, giving shots, phones ringing, checking in orders, etc.  You can't find technicians to help out either, no one wants to apply.  I mean we see sick people all day, who knows if it's covid or not?  There's a lot of illness going around besides covid though, I can tell you that.

The thing that annoys me though is that people still complain about wait times, hold times, and if things aren't ready when they just were at the doctor a half hour ago.  You want to come fill it yourself, or do you want quality and accuracy?

People have no respect for retail workers general, but you'd think on the pharmacy side it'd be better.  Everyone is overworked and many pharmacists in the district are leaving at an alarming rate.

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Threats over 

We just have to accept the fact that December is pretty much done.  Washout next weekend with 50's.  Still have a solid 2 months of winter afterwards anyway.

Had TREMENDOUS downpours between 1:10 and 1:35.  Also had very good sized hail.  This picture was an hour after the storm ended.  That's bigger than a pea if you can't tell.

51 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Peaked my interest with 17/18.

Probably my 4th favorite winter of all time.

56 inches total snowfall with 28 falling from March onwards.

Early season snowfall.

Great warmth for hearting savings and outdoor activities.

Yeah that was definitely a good season for backend snow.  Spring was definitely welcomed after that.

Back to back nights in the 20's.  Growing season is obviously done.

Monday-Wednesday looks stunning, 60's and sunny.

A little over 4" for the 24 hour total.

7 hours ago, bluewave said:

The extended EPS continues the above normal temperatures into November.

Starting to remind me of Fall 2015 a little bit.  AN week after week.

Pretty solid downpours here.

3 hours ago, jfklganyc said:

This cool down is down to 3 days. That is the funny thing after all that.

Tues thru Friday look down right warm

It does get warmer this week but it'll be different than the last few days.  Lows will be a little more seasonable and plus the dewpoint will not be in the 60s like today.