Ended at 7.5" in downtown DC. The sun peaked out earlier but the clouds are back and there are some light flurries (picture of Dupont Circle from earlier).
Both NAMs put down .5" of QPF between 10 am and 1 pm in DC, the big question seems to be what the precip type is but that's a crazy 3 hours either way.
Seems to me most of the short term models say the moment starts coming north and so we avoid the WV dryslot. Anyway, 1.5" here and think 4" is a good target for DC area.
ICON is like 5" of snow, then 2" of sleet (it says rain on the model but the temp is 32 and below always, maybe a little freezing rain too) then another 4" of snow on the backend. Pretty good outcome overall.
I think yes last night's and this morning's Euro lit the fire and the NAM added to it, but one model gives NY 18" and the other 0" so clearly there is two different issues at play here (imo the Euro solution is a lot better).
I mean honestly we'd all be a little better off if we stopped analyzing the NAM after 60 hours, it often shows bad or very good results that aren't supported and doesn't add anything.