WestMichigan

1 minute ago, josh_4184 said:

Yea I saw that recently Kalamazoo hasn't even had 12" of snow yet I was pretty shocked I am originally from Jackson and 131 always had at least 70-80" a year of snow. Tis week my area has definitely ate through some of the deficit, probably picked up about 14" so far the past two days and still hitting pretty good when I left for work this morning. May get another 2-4" throughout the day. 

I haven't seen 12" yet either.  Just broke double digits for the year earlier this week.  Here's hoping a warm lake and some friendly winds/850 temps during the month of February for both of us.

44 minutes ago, josh_4184 said:

Been that way up here until recently, about 45" under average for the year so far. 

I feel your pain, GRR is 34" below average.  Since I am closer to the lake, I am guessing I am a little below 40" below normal.  Anyway, congrats to finally seeing some snow up there!

1 minute ago, Chicago Storm said:

6z GEFS



.

Goth the GEFS and EPS would be a little nicer if they could just shift a county or two north.  Overall looking good for those along the IN/MI border.

Wish you cold send some of that down to this part of the state.  LES has been anemic all winter long.

Just now, Angrysummons said:

Sounds like all mask mandates will be gone by May.

Where did you hear that?

5 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

ensembles are all over the place. it definitely looks more active, so individual op runs are worthless. Also more cold air will be available later in January. Doesn't guarantee who does well and who doesnt, but I don't think we see April like snow systems like the one ongoing for a while. Feb may actually be our best month of the winter.

Should be a very easy target to reach.

2 hours ago, Stebo said:

Been shitty for years, and most of us good posters saw it. Just took longer for others I guess.

You are so full of yourself.  Stop riding Angrysummons so hard.  I don't agree with everything he posts, but he is allowed a voice.  You want to silence any opposition to anything you don't like.  Also, you just put down most of the forum according to you because only the "good posters" saw it and everyone else was to slow to figure it out.  I am not saying you have to like him or agree with him, but just ignore him if you don't like his posts.

At this point I'll take my chances with any amount of precip.  Above normal would be a good thing.

8 hours ago, IWXwx said:

I can't remember the last time that we've had such a winter season snooze-fest.  It's been cloudy with highs in the mid 30's and lows in the mid 20's for the past four days and the forecast is the same here for the next seven days. There's usually a little surprise system that breaks up the monotony.

Not sure you have to go too far back at least at GRR although we are pushing some futility records at this point but that looks to change.

First the boring part:

For most January`s in Southwest Michigan getting more than 4 days
in a row with no precipitation is unusual. However, in this
January, it is looking like we can get at least 6 days and if the
00z ECMWF is correct we will get 8 days in a row with no
measurable precipitation! If the 00z GFS is correct, it will only
be 6 days. So, just how unusual is getting a week of no
precipitation in January at GRR? Well the last January at GRR
with at least 7 days in a row with no measurable precipitation was
2013. In that case, we had a trace of precipitation each day. In
2012 we had 8 days with no precipitation at all from the 4th
through the 12th. Since 2013, the longest string of no
precipitation days has been 5 day in 2019. For most January`s at
GRR stings of more than 4 days happens less than once a year.

And now the futility part:

Since at GRR, we will by then be in 2nd place for the least
snowfall on record for the season (through the 15th, assuming it
does not snow until then) with only 7.5 inches of snow, this
could be the change, those who like outdoor winter sports are
looking for. By the way, first place for the least snowfall for
the season, by the 15th of January, is 7.2 inches in 1906.

Talk

Talk about a putrid calendar year for snow!

52 minutes ago, Snownado said:

This says it all folks. Look at all that snow in the south compared to Indy.

I see the blank spot in Indiana so I feel your pain in that regard, but who on here really thinks that map will pan out?  I just don't see LA, MS, AL getting that much snow.

About 3" around here Christmas Eve/Christmas Day.  Made for a nice white Christmas.  Unfortunately LES also melts fairly quickly if there isn't much of it and I am just down to drifts left in the yard now.

6 minutes ago, ILSNOW said:

A little icy

Can I pull an ALEK here

^toss

12 minutes ago, mimillman said:

This pattern couldn’t look more horrendous. Time to root for futility

Never, even a little snow is way better than futility. 

I'll take 200 miles west

Talk about futility - the snowfall deficits are going to be very hard to overcome on this side of the state.

5 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

At least you have LES to look forward to in the coming days.  Would take quite an evasive act to miss that.

Let's hope you are correct.  Earlier the models were saying more of a N/NNW wind which would give me nothing while 10 miles west gets hit.  They are thankfully showing a little more  westerly component now which is good for me.

The theme of the winter. Everything skips right over my county.  I realize this is light precip and maybe not even reaching the ground but snow north and south is the story of the season here. 

You can't even make this stuff up anymore.  12Z NAM (I don't really think it will play out like this, but it is too funny to pass up.)  Guess where I live???

17 minutes ago, Cary67 said:

Think at some point we will get that few week window between now and Mid April that will boost snow totals from  noteworthy futility to just brutal.lol

I am right there with you.  GRR is going to be at a 20"+ snowfall deficit for the year after this week.  They have only recorded 0.4" for the year with is 0.3"+ more than I have.  Still waiting for your first measurable snow in an area that average close to 80" a year is pretty bad.

It can snow here 

1 hour ago, MIstorm97 said:

We only got 1.1” (lol) from that so this probably is going to top that. A real winner of a winter so far being in the donut hole of two events before this

Donut hole - look at a season to date map of Michigan and pick out the donut hole.  I really don't think you have anything to complain about.

https://mrcc.illinois.edu/cliwatch/GIS_plots/nohrsc/nohrsc_mrcc_seas.png

1", 10", 20", I don't care.  I just want some flakes to fall IMBY.  The snowfall deficits are getting pretty ugly around here.  Might be worse in the UP in absolute numbers, but they have at least had snow this year.  At least there is a sign that things might get a little more active.  At this point I will take my chances with any precip falling from the sky.  Eventually the blind squirrel will find a nut, especially in this part of the country.

1 minute ago, frostfern said:

Not sure.  I think it was just a sharp gradient.  GRR and MKG also got narrowly missed.  Frustrating as there was a lot of H2O coming out of the sky.  It just never changed over, not even towards the end.  When the temperature finally got below freezing the precip stopped.  Maddening.

Yeah, IMBY I had 2.08” of rain and maybe 12 flakes at the end but still waiting for first measurable snow of the season. 

5 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

rt.live updated with new values.  Here they are for the states you mentioned:

CA:  1.16

IN:  1.02

WI:  0.98

MI:  0.96

MN:  0.96

IL:  0.95

Interesting to see the Midwest slowly dropping overall even with Thanksgiving (but it hasn't been enough to offset the rises in other parts of the country).  Really makes you think about all the factors at play.  More hunkering down?  More mask wearing/hand sanitizing?  Stricter admission criteria into hospitals?  Some threshold being reached where enough people have already been infected and mostly taken out of the "pool" for now, thus cutting into transmission rates?  Maybe a combination of things. 

 

Certainly not the apocalypse many feared in the Midwest over the Thanksgiving time period.