PhineasC

HRRR still has the signal. 3-4" seems to be the usual number here for clippers.

If the US actually does that I think it’ll be fair to ask if we have gone as mad as Putin.

There is talk of a no-fly zone over Ukraine which to me would be the real "red line" where the risk of this escalating into WWIII actually becomes relevant. This action by Turkey is a step towards that.

Kim Jong Un does this same kind of thing all the time. He's always putting the military on "super double ultimate high alert" to be "ready for immediate war" at his command. It's just something these clowns do. Russia is obviously a much bigger threat than NK, but I think the mentality is kind of the same. It's one of the few ways these tinpot Napoleons can lash out at the West.

Trying to take out an ICBM is like trying to hit a fastball coming at you with a thrown pencil. SLBMs are even worse because you don't even get the advantage of knowing the launch sites before hand. A sub can just launch from anywhere it wants. Anyway, MAD works for these and other reasons.

Hate to burst your bubble, but a certain number of warheads from the many MIRVs that are launched are guaranteed to get through, even if we had space laser defenses (which we don't). It's part of why MAD works and has for a long time. The various nuclear treaties over the years have been designed to ease tensions by allowing the signatory nations to know the capabilities of the others. MAD breaks down if one party gains an insurmountable advantage over the others.

I think the threat of nuclear war was much closer at times during the Cold War. US and Soviet forces in some cases were directly shooting at each other in the skies over Korea and Vietnam, for example. The Cuban Missile Crisis was viewed as an existential threat by the US at the time, not unlike how the Russians supposedly feel about Ukraine joining NATO. People running around scared that Putin will nuke us is pretty much exactly why he made those threats. In his mind, it strengthens his position at the bargaining table. Ukraine agrees to a "peace deal" and the nuclear threats ease, is the concept. That and the oil are the two real bargaining chips Russia has with the West. Kim does the same thing with his nukes/missile launches to gain concessions from the West. Old play from the book.

18z GFS was really close to getting NNE through the torch period with a net gain in snow.

I wonder how many of these random Twitter accounts are bots or paid shills? Most people can’t even tell the Ukrainian and Russian forces apart from a picture. Both sides are using irregular and militia forces too which makes it difficult. Some of the Russian forces are probably Ukrainian citizens from the breakaway regions too, giving this a civil war aspect.

A lot of the stuff on Twitter about blown up Russian convoys and troops surrendering/running away are totally unverifiable. There are a ton of Twitter accounts just posting random things about the war who are being boosted by retweets. Russia is actually being super quiet. Not entirely sure why, really. Ukraine is totally winning the propaganda war at least.

GFS and CMC are snowy for this week even just taken verbatim. Add in some ratio help and it could be a sneaky foot for the favored areas.

Looks like a couple clippers come through this week and then a late weekend overrunning deal. Hoping that can get under NNE to avoid rain.

Looks like something that could get under NNE at least. CMC shows that.

To the guy in the V6 Mustang with Texas plates trying to get up Rt 2 leaving Gorham headed towards Randolph in the middle of the squall… it’s not happening dude. How did you end up in such a predicament?

Picked up 3” today. Pretty typical for here in these kinds of setups. The GFS continues to paint a snowy week ahead.

706 APCs destroyed is also a totally false number. Doubtful Russia even has that many engaged. LOL

Pretty sure if those numbers were true Putin would have taken off the handcuffs and they’d be hammering Kiev with missiles, air strikes, and artillery. That’s not happening.

There is an absurd amount of bad information and propaganda out there right now but some don’t want to listen. If they want to believe Putin will surrender and be led away in chains, let them.

It looked super lame before it got here too due to the same issue I think. It exploded back to life on GYX radar just before it hit here.

Pretty sweet. Dropped a quick couple inches. Still snowing moderately.

That's what's been missing this winter so far, IMO.

Nevermind, it just arrived.

I think it totally missed here. Nothing but light stuff and a bit of wind.

If his temp is near 36 I can’t imagine fluff piling up too well.

Do you suggest we go to war in Ukraine against Russia to “defend democracy”?