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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    There was also record high temperatures in the 80s as well it was a disaster all around for snowfall. Only five above average snowfall Winters for New York City in the 30-year period of 1970 through 1999.
  2. EastonSN+
    As long as it's cold enough to snow
  3. EastonSN+
    On the bright side at least the Mid-Atlantic can get some snow.
  4. EastonSN+
    Gefs a bit south of the 6z run.
  5. EastonSN+
    Will be interesting to see if the gefs matches the op.
  6. EastonSN+
  7. EastonSN+
    Ends up a bit South of 0z.
  8. EastonSN+
  9. EastonSN+
    Yeah just looking at the setups of the major Arctic outbreaks like 1989 13 14 and 93 94 there is a lack of blocking which makes sense since blocking would have positive departures in Canada. Without blocking it's negative departures All the Way North.
  10. EastonSN+
    I was living in Norwalk in 1996 and it was the largest snowfall in norwalk's history and in my lifetime with 27 inches.
  11. EastonSN+
    The great thing about 2010-2011 and what I learned in the New England forum is that we went from one good setup which is represented in the two events you have posted and we went into a second good setup which allowed for the KU event at the end of January. Then we ended up with two smaller events with a changeover event in February and a moderate overrunning event in March great year.
  12. EastonSN+
    Here is December 1989. Nao and AO are positive.
  13. EastonSN+
  14. EastonSN+
    As expected with the warming Waters in the Indian Ocean a stronger wave in phases 1 and 2
  15. EastonSN+
    It's truly amazing to see all three ensemble suites keeping the East Coast trough right through to the end without a major sign of falling apart.
  16. EastonSN+
    Usually on one side you have a chance for a minor to moderate event and on the other side you have a chance of a major event.
  17. EastonSN+
    Thank goodness we're not seeing 1989 again that was a worst case scenario for snowfall. Nothing worse than getting one of the coldest Decembers of all time with limited snowfall then heading into extreme warmth the rest of the winter LOL.
  18. EastonSN+
    I thought for true arctic cold we need a setup without blocking. Good examples are 93/94 and 13/14 where there was a lack of blocking allowing Canada to have negative departures and therefore allowing a colder air mass to come South. When there is blocking Canada has positive departures which would modify air masses coming south, hence a smaller cold pool when there's blocking.
  19. EastonSN+
    Thought we wouldn't want it too cold and suppressed better to be closer to the line.
  20. EastonSN+
    http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2019/03/pacific-archambault-signal-for-equinox.html
  21. EastonSN+
    So close to a archambault event signal. Only item missing is the mjo in phase 8 which is going to phase 1 now.
  22. EastonSN+
    Snowfall is a general one to three and not bad leading into the cold air.
  23. EastonSN+
    I was living in Norwalk Connecticut on the coast and we never changed the rain ended up with 22.
  24. EastonSN+
    Just for entertainment the entire run
  25. EastonSN+
    Yeah I was just curious as we have seen snow storms where the primary goes through the Great lakes well north of us then redevelops south of us so I guess technically it cuts then redevelops it is not technically a quote unquote cutter. The primary during Nemo in 2013 went through to Buffalo and we still had a massive blizzard.
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